The California Effect

The Washington Post has produced two columns that hit very similar themes. The first, by David Ignatius, talks of the California budget crisis in the context of continuing political gridlock between the two major parties. Ignatius hits a recurring point from both columns.

What’s worrisome this year isn’t economic decline but political dysfunction. And nowhere is that clearer than in California, where politicians — despite some serious bipartisan efforts — haven’t been able to make the decisions that would put the state on a sound financial footing.

The political forces that generate deficits are just too strong: a Democratic Party in hock to public-employee unions and a Republican Party in love with tax cuts. Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger labored mightily in 2009 to close a $60 billion budget deficit, hammering out a plan that included $32 billion in spending cuts and $12.5 billion in temporary tax increases.

And yet there is so much polarization, and beyond that polarization is the desire to score cheap political gain when the governing party must make difficult decisions. Obstruct, block, and simply take positions that are diametrically opposed to positions taken under different circumstances, and you have a ticket to political and financial oblivion.

The second column, written by Ezra Klein, talks about the California dysfunction and how that same dysfunction has manifested itself in Washington.

Ever since Newt Gingrich partnered with Bob Dole to retake the Congress atop a successful strategy of relentless and effective obstructionism, Congress has been virtually incapable of doing anything difficult because the minority party will either block it or run against it, or both. And make no mistake: Congress will need to do hard things, and soon.

Yes, they will need to make exceedingly difficult decisions that will anger the base of both Parties. But who will step up and lead when it comes time to govern instead of seeking short term political gain? That leadership is not yet apparent.

Read the Klein column here.

Read the Ignatius column here.

Posted in National News | Tagged | 1 Comment

The President on Terrorism

The President used his weekly address to show the measures he is taking to fight the battle against terrorism and Al-Qaeda specifically. He is trying to blunt the obvious Republican thrust that somehow his administration is soft on terrorism. With the President on vacation in Hawaii. the Administration is taking care to show that he is fully engaged on this issue. Today’s Washington Post has a piece on the difficulty of vacationing in the current atmosphere.

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Scott Brown and JFK

Scott Brown has put out a 30 second ad which is quite clever, where JFK morphes into Brown delivering a message espousing tax cuts. Of course back when JFK cut taxes the top marginal rate was in the ninety percent neighborhood. And we did not have deficits that were quite as substantial, or that consumed as much of GDP as the current deficits. Still, a clever ad by Scott Brown. Probably won’t help much, but we will know that real soon.

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Today's Tribune Story on Pension Obligation

Today’s Tribune has a story on pension funding by the City of Methuen. The online version has a headline which reads “Mayor says City not able to pay pension money today”, which is not what I said. I said that we would not make the payment today, because it would be financially imprudent to do so. We could make the payment if we had to. The story also did not mention the fact that the State Department of Revenue yesterday certified Methuen’s tax rate, allowing us to get our tax bills out on time. Getting the D.O.R. certification was made difficult by the refusal of the City Council to fund the pension obligation, which put our budget technically out of balance (an “appropriations deficit”). The finance team worked very hard on this for two days, and I would like to thank Tom Kelly and Ann Guastafero for their hard work. My thanks to Bob Nunes and the team at the Department of Revenue for all of their help and hard work as well. Whatever your thoughts on the City Council tax vote I think all sides agreed that getting a tax bill out on time was critically important to Methuen, and in light of that importance everyone should know that the certification has occurred. Happy New Year to all. I am grateful that I will not be spending New Years Eve with the team from D.O.R., as much as I have enjoyed their company for two days.

Posted in Methuen, Methuen City Council, Municipal Finance | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Tax Demagoguery

I am back from a Christmas respite from blogging. I hope you all had a wonderful holiday season. As you likely know the Methuen City Council is faced with a vote on tax classification, which has brought forward a torrent of misinformation and a fair share of demagoguery and political theatre. Lets look at the facts and try to set the record straight.

Two weeks ago the City Council, by a 7-1 vote, approved a classification factor of 170. That factor would have led to an average residential tax increase of $88.04. It would have raised approximately $62,030,425 through the tax levy. The classification factor of 170 was rejected by the Massachusetts Department of Revenue, and consequently the City Council was faced with the task of passing a factor that could be approved by D.O.R. The maximum factor they would allow is 164, which would lead to an average increase for a residential homeowner of $128.18, and also decrease the commercial burden from $609.92 to $287.32. It is important to note that the factor being set at 164 raises $62,030,425 through the tax levy. That is the same amount raised with the factor set at 170. So the City Council voted to raise $62,030,425 from the tax levy two weeks ago, and now we have some members calling for a tea party because they are being asked to raise the exact same amount, $62,030,425. Interesting. We also heard from some that the City could effectively ignore the Department of Revenue and send bills based on the factor approved originally at 170 by the City Council. Nothing could be further from the truth, and even a rudimentary knowledge of municipal finance would prevent one from making such a claim.

The setting of the tax classification factor has also set off further misunderstandings about the budget process, and about the impacts of non-action by the City Council. Before the adoption of the municipal budget the City of Methuen entered into contracts with our nine unions that provided an unprecedented level of givebacks by those unions. All nine city side unions, in order to avoid layoffs and service cuts, agreed to give back ten percent of their wage base through these contracts. Municipal managers also took ten percent wage cuts. These cuts totaled close to $2 million dollars. Municipal unions, including the Teachers Union, agreed to changes in the design of our health care plan that saved taxpayers $1.2 million dollars in this fiscal cycle. In return the City agreed to a no layoff policy for this fiscal year. All nine contracts were approved by the City Council. These contracts forestalled the layoffs of twenty police officers and twenty firefighters, as well as scores of City Hall workers and DPW employees. As Mayor I have not filled positions in this budget that had a wage value of over one million dollars, including the Deputy Chief of Police, the Assistant to the Fire Chief, two DPW Superintendents, one Police Captain, six DPW workers, and the Historic Planner. The Land Use Planner for the City has been cut to a 24 hour per week position. We have actually reduced the size of city government, and done so in a significant way. The operating budget of City Government has been reduced in this cycle by approximately $2.5 million dollars. Our problems lay in explosive increases in fixed costs, and a massive reduction in state aid.

Facts and details can be bothersome things, and the call by some to “furlough” employees to further reduce city expenses shows a shocking lack of knowledge about contracts that bind the City, and the devastating consequences the City would face if those contracts were violated. If the City Council does not act to set a tax factor the City of Methuen would likely be faced with a cash flow problem by the end of January that could be as high as $14 million dollars. Contrary to the Tribune editorial this is not a budget “shortfall” but rather a problem of tax collections being pushed further into the future, leaving the City unable to meet payroll or honor its other obligations. Under those conditions I have said that I would have to consider furloughing employees, not to solve a budget problem but rather because the City would not be able to fund payroll. Such an action could be construed as a violation of our one year labor agreements and subject the City to having to repay the ten percent given back by our employees, or $1.9 million dollars. The additional suggestion, that employees be furloughed to reduce City expenses, would be a clear violation of those agreements, since we have furloughed ten percent of their wage base already. That tea would be very bitter and expensive for the taxpayers of Methuen.

Any increase in property tax is a real burden to all, especially in difficult times. As at budget time I stand ready to work in a positive way with the City Council. If some members feel that midyear budget cuts are in order I await their specific suggestions as to which departments and line items should be cut. Our budget protected the Nevins Library, services to our seniors and veterans, and ensured our public safety sector’s ability to deliver vital services to our citizens. We have delivered a budget that is balanced, and we remain over a million dollars below the Proposition 2.5 levy limit. It is a responsible budget, and one that was approved unanimously by the City Council. The Council needs to act now to avert the potentially serious and damaging consequences of their lack of action.

As far as the Tribune editorial of December 23 goes it cites a non-existent budget “shortfall” of $12 million dollars. That is the number I cited as a cash flow deficiency in the event a tax bill is not sent. It is not a budget shortfall. The budget itself is balanced, and setting the classification factor is simply an outgrowth of the budget that was adopted. Why the reference to a budget shortfall keeps occurring is a mystery to me. It is interesting to note that Haverhill and Andover have both set factors, and both raised the average residential tax bill. I must have missed those editorials. And although the Tribune rightly notes that taxpayers are paying for snow removal and trash collection it would be nice to point out that we charge no fees for school athletics or school busing. We provide city wide recycling, and our negotiations for trash tipping fees have resulted in a huge decrease in those costs this year. I have been a careful steward of the public dollar and I have fully participated in the wage cuts that helped us to a budget where we had no layoffs, no service cuts, an increased allocation to our library, and a protection of the services we provide to seniors, as well as being under the Prop 2.5 levy limit by over a million dollars. The budget, and the values that are reflected in that budget, are good values and represent fairly what I campaigned on. I hope that the City Council shares those values and votes a classification factor that allows the City to move forward.

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Dems Reach 60 in the Senate

With Senator Ben Nelson coming on board after a hard fought compromise on abortion was reached the Democratic Party has reached the 60 vote margin necessary to pass the Senate version of health care reform. Nelson achieved more than changes in language dealing with abortion, securing legislative advantage on several fronts for his home state of Nebraska. The left feels that the bill has moved in the wrong direction in several areas, and has let its displeasure be known. Howard Dean has been prominently critical, and has taken some return fire from the Administration. White House senior advisor David Axelerod this week said it would be “insane” to derail this bill based on the objections raised. During an interview on “This Week” Axelrod took pains to say he had not called Dean insane.

I didn’t say he was insane, I want to make that clear. Howard Dean is a friend of mine. I have a great respect for him. He is a medical doctor, and I know he feels passionately about that. What I said was, it would be insane to pass on an opportunity to enact the reform that would have such positive impact on our future and on the well-being of families across this country.

And I still believe that. It was probably an unfortunate choice of words.

So the bill will pass, but the conference with the House will be a contentious affair, and Senator Nelson made it very clear that he will vote against a Conference Committee bill that alters the terms of the items he has negotiated. That will be a bitter pill for House conferees to swallow. The Democrats made progress, but this process is not yet complete.

See the full Axelrod interview here.

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The President on Health Care

The President spends his weekly address on health care, talking about the past failure of a patient bill of rights, and decrying the parliamentary obstruction of the Republican Party on health care. Meanwhile the Senate Democrats continue to struggle to get to sixty, with Ben Nelson proving a difficult vote to corral. The newest iteration drops the Medicare buy in that had been put in to replace the (watered down) public option, which was dropped. The Dems are struggling, with some on the left calling for the defeat of this bill. Paul Krugman weighed in this week, calling for passage of the bill despite the anger being felt by many over some of the horse trading that has watered down the bill. Read the Krugman column here.

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Methuen High School Project Moves Forward

Today’s Eagle Tribune details the results of yesterday’s Building Committee Meeting, where a “preferred’ design was selected by the Committee. The school design selected, referred to as the “bridge” concept, will now be submitted to the Massachusetts School Building Authority for approval. The cost estimators have given us a number of about $79.8 million dollars for the construction portion of the project. The additional costs are so called soft costs, which the Owners Project Manager has estimated could be between 20-25% of the overall construction costs, reflective of construction industry standards.That percentage estimate leads to the overall estimate hitting $100 million, which is reflected in today’s Tribune story.

We continue to study the specifics of those soft costs, which include the costs of housing students off site during construction. Our project team is looking at different time frames for the construction involved, and will present to the Building Committee the cost implications of those options very shortly. The completion of the feasibility phase will allow us, with M.S.B.A. approval, to move right to schematic design.

I will continue to post updates here at my blog. Drop me a line if you have any questions or concerns.

Read the Tribune story here.

Posted in Methuen | Tagged | 2 Comments

Katie Oskar is December S.O.A.R. Award Recipient

“Academically distinguished, intellectually inquisitive, and athletically gifted best describe senior Katie Oskar,” states Principal Jim Guica. Methuen High School is pleased to recognize a student of Katie’s stature as the S.O.A.R Award recipient for December.

Katie is a student athlete of the highest order. She truly enjoys social studies and in particular, United States history. She demonstrates her passion for the subject by spending her own time doing in depth reading and study of topics covered in class. The results of this devotion to her study became evident last spring when she achieved the highest score attainable in the Advanced Placement U.S. History testing. That score now enables Katie to count her Advanced Placement high school social studies class as college credit when she matriculates to college next fall.

Katie Oska’s academic achievements, however, are not limited to social studies. She is an honor student in the truest sense; being a member of the National Honor Society, Spanish Honor Society, and History Honor Society. For her course load this academic year, Katie is taking four Advanced Placement courses plus Calculus and honors Spanish. Katie’s academic performances in the classroom match up well with the excellent scores she has achieved in state testing. Katie registered a perfect score of 280 in the MCAS Biology test and narrowly missed getting a perfect score in Math MCAS testing by two percentage points.

Athletically, Katie holds the current school swim team record in diving and the track record in the triple jump. In addition to garnering ‘All MVC’ honors this past fall in swimming and in diving, Katie was also named team MVP.

Katie is a personable young lady and student role model who has represented her school well. Our congratulations go out to Katie Oskar as the December S.O.A.R. Award winner.

Katie Oskar receives December 2009 S.O.A.R. Award

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The Explosion in Pension Costs

Today’s Tribune has a story about pension costs in Methuen, and how the continued rapid escalation in these costs are threatening municipal finances throughout the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. I do agree with Michael Widmer that any extension of the full funding schedule should be coupled with meaningful pension reform. However you cut it however these pension cost increases are destroying our ability to manage our finances at the local level. When coupled with the massive spike in health care costs something has to give.

Read the Tribune story here.

Posted in Methuen, Municipal Finance, State News | Tagged | 1 Comment