Methuen Budget Message and Presentation

I have attached my budget presentation below, along with my budget message to the Methuen City Council. Liberated some of the ideas from the slide show from Manager Lynch in Lowell. City Council meets in budget session tonight.

Dear Chairman Cronin:

Attached please find a copy of the FY 2012 budget. I have attached a Power Point presentation on the budget that highlights the six year budgetary trends that continue to present challenges to Methuen, as well as information on the FY2012 budget. Please allow me to highlight some of these trends.

Six Year Trends.

State Aid down over $900,000

The City Contribution to net school spending is up by over $4,300,000

Health Care Spending is up by over $5,400,000.

Pension Costs are up by over $2,400,000.

Vocational School Spending is up over $1,000,000.

Those budget drivers are instructive, for when you look at our utilization of levy during the six year period the problems inherent in municipal finance become apparent. Over the six year period our use of levy has grown by some $12,300,000. During that period we have had new growth of $5,600,000. That means that our levy utilization is $6,700,000. ($12 million less the new growth of $5.6 million.) When you then deduct health care, pension, and school spending you actually arrive at a negative number for levy growth. We have managed, through the years, to maintain services in light of that by utilization of one time revenues and by keeping a close lid on municipal spending. How close of a lid? Since 2009 municipal side spending has declined by over $6 million dollars.

As we arrive at the FY12 Budget we continue to hold the line on City side municipal spending. But the challenges to us are great. Before we begin the fiscal cycle our excess levy capacity balloons to approximately $6.2 million dollars. We have made a decision to utilize this capacity as a “reserve”, which has allowed us to lighten the tax load on residential taxpayers. But as the six year trend shows it is not possible to continue without some utilization of the levy. In this cycle we are faced with mandatory increases in the following areas. Methuen Public Schools net school spending will rise by about $500,000, while the Vocational School will also rise by $500,000. Employees are contractually entitled to a return of their givebacks of the last two years, which totals about $1.5 million dollars. Even with that the City has benefitted by virtue of using attrition and early retirement to reduce the city side head count, which reduced our giveback obligation by some $400,000.

As I have pointed out in my Power Point presentation the city side work force has been reduced by 10% over the last six years. In reducing headcount in this fashion we have avoided having to fund unemployment benefits, while maintaining core services. A couple of figures of note: Our Fire Department is down by ten firefighters, our Police force is down by two patrolman, with two more out on long term disability. Our DPW has been cut by about a million dollars since 2006. In this budget I have restored the Police Patrol contingent to that recommended by the Chief. On the Fire side I have recommended the addition of five firefighters over the existing level, which has been reduced by attrition and by early retirement. The choice we face is between replacing the retired firefighters or increasing the allocation for overtime. My recommended staffing level will leave us short of the request from Chief Buote, but will allow us to maintain adequate fire services to the residents of Methuen.

As my presentation to you will show the area that is left for scrutiny is the so called “other expenses” portion of the municipal budget, which amounts to about $1 million. Please keep in mind that these so called “other expenses” contain vehicle maintenance, expenses for fuel and heat, turnout gear for our firefighters, ambulance supplies, bullet-proof vests for our police officers, as well as ammunition to conduct firearms training. It is important to note that despite severe cuts on the municipal side we have managed to fund a snow removal budget of over $1.1 million with a City Council budgetary allocation of less than half of that amount. During my six years as Mayor we have continually funded snow removal in this way, artificially lowering the bottom line of the budget and then squeezing enough savings out of the municipal budget to cover the entire snow removal budget.

I will submit a Capital Improvement book under separate cover. That will require substantial additional conversation, as we are faced with a very large expense relating to upgrading radio equipment, as well as required investment in police patrol cars, fire ambulances, and other public safety and DPW equipment.

The laws of mathematics have put most municipalities into a real budgetary dilemma. As our fixed costs continue to rise, we, not wanting to adversely impact taxpayers, continue to prune the areas where we have that ability, the City side of government. But we also do not wish to cut services to our constituents. We rightfully fight for full services to our senior center, for recreation programs for our children and to ensure that we deliver vital public safety services to our citizens. But the laws of math will require some difficult decisions. Methuen has been managed with the bottom line in mind, including the funding of the Methuen High School project WITHIN the confines of Prop 2.5. With this budget we still leave levy capacity of over $2 million dollars while funding the services that are wanted and needed by our residents. I look forward to discussing this budget, as well as the upcoming Capital Improvement budget, which I hope to submit tomorrow.

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Muni Health Care Reform in Doubt

The Massachusetts Senate, via a late budget amendment, has added a provision dealing with retiree health care that would negate a large portion of prospective savings that their original bill provided. The Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, (thank you Michael Widmer) has released a detailed analysis of the Senate version of muni health care reform, which I have attached below. I have excerpted a key portion here:

The Senate version would fall well short of the estimated $100 million in first-year savings for cities and towns because of the costs for increased retiree contributions. Since the $100 million in savings would grow dramatically over time, this shortfall in savings would increase commensurately as well.

By placing additional obligations on communities, the Senate amendment runs directly counter to the entire purpose of the municipal health reform legislation—to give municipalities greater flexibility to control their soaring health costs.

Municipalities urgently need to address their unaffordable retiree health care liabilities as described in the Foundation’s recent report, Retiree Health Care: The Brick That Broke Municipalities’ Backs. The Senate amendment flies in the face of that reality, adding to the burden for a substantial fraction of Massachusetts communities and limiting the ability of all cities and towns to address an obligation that is beyond the ability of local taxpayers to pay for without decimating basic services.

In tying retiree contributions to active employee contributions, which are negotiated through collective bargaining, the Senate amendment takes a huge step backwards by further constraining the ability of local officials to manage retiree health care liabilities.

The budget is now in a House-Senate conference Committee. The Legislature has come a very long way on this issue. At the local level we hope that the conferees opt for the original goal of saving that $100 million per year, so that we can provide services and save jobs. It would be a shame to stop short at this late point.

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Massachusetts Mayors Endorse Setti Warren

Eight Massachusetts Mayors have endorsed the candidacy of Newton Mayor Setti Warren for United States Senate. Mayor Warren is an outstanding candidate who understands the issues facing localities in Massachusetts. His resume and background, in my view, make him ideally suited for the job of Senator. Visit his website at www.settiwarren.com. Below is his press release on the endorsements.

Massachusetts Mayors Stand with Setti Warren

Newton, MA – Today, eight prominent mayors from around of the Commonwealth endorsed Setti Warren for U.S. Senate because they believe Mayor Warren best understands the challenges faced by their cities and towns and can best represent the interests of Massachusetts’ communities in the U.S. Senate. The mayors who have joined Setti’s campaign are:

Mayor Robert Dolan, Melrose

Mayor Mary Clare Higgins, Northampton

Mayor Thatcher Kezer, Amesbury

Mayor William Manzi, Methuen

Mayor Joe O’Brien, Worcester

Mayor James Ruberto, Pittsfield

Mayor Michael Tautznik, Easthampton

Mayor Lisa Wong, Fitchburg

Mayor Warren has dedicated his life to public service and has worked at all levels of government. He understands how effective and efficient government can positively impact our communities. In Newton, Mayor Warren saved the taxpayers eight million dollars over two tough budget cycles, while improving critical city services and making government more accountable to the residents. Setti is running for the U.S. Senate to bring the same type of leadership and common sense solutions to Washington.

“I am especially honored to receive the endorsement of so many of my colleagues and pledge that, if elected, I would be the strong federal partner they need,” said Mayor Warren. “Unfortunately, Scott Brown has not provided key leadership in the Senate. He has even voted against funding for police, firefighter, and teacher jobs in Massachusetts. As a U.S. Senator, I would work hard to bring critical investment dollars – in infrastructure, job creation, and education – to Massachusetts communities.”

Here is what some of the mayors endorsing Mayor Warren had to say about him and his candidacy:

“I know Mayor Warren well, and his record of results in Newton speaks for itself,” said Joe O’Brien, Mayor of Worcester. “As Chair of the U.S. Conference of Mayors Committee on Community Development and Housing, he has been a strong advocate for greater partnership between local and federal government and would be the type of dynamic leader that Massachusetts communities need in the United States Senate.”

Thatcher Kezer, Mayor of Amesbury, said: “As a mayor and former military leader, Setti Warren understands the needs of everyday citizens of Massachusetts and demonstrates the necessary skills to put into action the changes we need from the federal government to better serve the residents of the Commonwealth.”

“Mayor Warren recently visited Pittsfield, and I know that he is committed to the economic development needs of Western Massachusetts,” said James Ruberto, Mayor of Pittsfield. “As a Mayor, he has a unique understanding of the type of infrastructure investments we need to support local communities in Massachusetts.”

“I’m enthusiastic about Setti’s campaign, because he understands what we’re going through as mayors,” said Michael Tautznik, Mayor of Easthampton. “He would be a terrific Senator for the people of Massachusetts.”

“Setti is a strong new leader for Massachusetts,” said Mary Clare Higgins, Mayor of Northampton. “In Newton, he has delivered results for residents, and I am sure he can bring the same type of dynamic problem solving to the U.S. Senate.”

“Mayor Warren understands what Massachusetts communities need right now,” said Lisa Wong, Mayor of Fitchburg. “I am confident that in the U.S. Senate he would be focused on economic development and job creation for our state.”

“Setti recently visited Methuen, and I am excited about his candidacy,” said William Manzi, Mayor of Methuen. “He is the type of strong and straight forward leader that Massachusetts needs in the United States Senate.”

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The Gingrich Collapse

The rather abrupt collapse of the Newt Gingrich candidacy this past week can’t be too much of a surprise in light of his problems as a candidate from day one, but it should offer lessons to candidates for office at all levels. Gingrich has had problems from day one, including a botched roll out, his disaster on Meet the Press, and now the mass resignations of his entire campaign staff. The collapse came much faster than even Newt detractors guessed it would, with the reports indicating a flawed candidate badly out of touch with what it takes to mount a credible campaign for President.

Gingrich, as he started the campaign, was known to all as a man lacking discipline. That lack of ability to stay on message was always considered to be a major potential liability. What was not readily apparent was Gingrich’s laziness as a campaigner. Nor was his unwillingness to commit to campaign fundamentals known to anyone, least of all his new Gingrich for President staff. Gingrich has rejected fundraising, leaving the campaign in financial tatters, unable to pay fees for voter lists and event entry in Iowa. He has rejected traditional campaigning, opting for a two week vacation cruise while his campaign stalled, refusing to commit to the ground game that had been the backbone of his own strategy. As he now prepares to soldier on Newt tells us that the campaign will not be built on a campaign devised by consultants. From the Washington Post:

“There is a fundamental strategic difference between the traditional consulting community and the kind of campaign I want to run,” Gingrich told reporters camped out Friday at his suburban Virginia house. “We’ll find out over the next year who’s right.”

Added Joseph DiSantis, one of his newly installed campaign spokesmen: “Going forward, we’re going to build a strategy around Newt, rather than fit Newt into a strategy.”

For all of you prospective candidates out there please learn from this imbecility. You have an egotistical candidate who does not wish to undertake campaign fundamentals, so he announces that the consulting community is wrong and he is right. The consulting community does not need defending here. Campaign strategies certainly can and do vary, and the consulting community has its fair share of strategists that have made serious errors in past campaigns. But the strategies being debated here are not subject to debate. You don’t go on a two week vacation in the middle of a campaign when you should be meeting voters and raising money to get out your message. You don’t refuse to do personal fundraising, and then spend campaign resources on charter flights when you cannot buy voter lists. Newt is one of those nightmare candidates who shuts off his ears when simple concepts he does not want to do are thrust upon him by consultants. It is not the consultants Newt. It is you. The end has not come formally, but it has come in reality. Goodbye Newt. After your formal withdrawal you will have plenty of time for shopping at Tiffany’s and extended cruises to Greece.

http://specials.washingtonpost.com/mv/embed/?title=Gingrich%20says%20he's%20still%20running&stillURL=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Frf%2Fimage_606w%2F2010-2019%2FWashingtonPost%2F2011%2F06%2F10%2FNational-Politics%2FVideos%2F06102011-55v%2F06102011-55v.jpg&flvURL=%2Fmedia%2F2011%2F06%2F10%2F06102011-55v.m4v&width=480&height=270&autoStart=0&clickThru=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fpolitics%2Fgingrich-says-hes-still-running%2F2011%2F06%2F10%2FAGIeoIPH_video.html

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Pawlenty on the Economy

Tim Pawlenty gave a major speech on the economy this month in which he made some major proposals on tax cuts, the deficit, and economic growth. Pawlenty had the speech critiqued by the Fact Checker over at the Washington Post, who gave Pawlenty “two Pinocchios” for some of the economic assumptions underpinning his policy goals. In particular the idea that you could achieve five percent growth for a sustained period of time is not borne out by history.

Pawlenty’s goal of 5 percent annual growth in the gross domestic product strikes us as rather ambitious. He essentially admits this when he notes that Ronald Reagan achieved 4.9 percent growth between 1983 and 1987 and that Bill Clinton achieved 4.7 percent growth between 1996 and 1999. Both of those results came after recessions. Pawlenty, who proposes dramatic cuts in taxes, does not note that Clinton’s stellar economic performance was achieved even though he raised taxes on the wealthy.

Of course Pawlenty blames health care price escalation on President Obama’s health care reform effort, even though the law does not take full effect until 2014. Another Pawlenty article of faith is that even with the steep cuts he proposes to tax rates revenue will come in at 18% of GDP. On that score I say show me. Paul Ryan has struggled to answer that same question, and the stock answer seems to be that revenue will come in that way regardless of tax rates because it always has. Hmmmm. The Wall Street Journal editorial page generally liked the Pawlenty approach, but they are not afraid to show their true colors when it comes to deficit reduction.

More problematic is Mr. Pawlenty’s endorsement of a balanced budget amendment. Leave aside that changing the Constitution is (rightly) a very heavy political lift, and that short-term deficits can be useful, as in the 1980s to finance the defense buildup that helped to end the Cold War. The more fundamental problem is that a balanced budget rule can easily become an excuse to raise taxes, as it often has at the state level. Mr. Obama would gladly balance the budget at 24% of GDP, or more.

The Journal editorial page has always shunted aside deficit concerns in favor of tax cutting. They are also not afraid to call for huge spikes in certain federal spending that they feel important, as long as it is done with borrowed money. See the support for military spending cited above. The Journal’s editorial slant is the real Republican position, but those Republicans in Congress cannot be so upfront about their lack of real concern for deficit reduction. They advocate “deficit reduction”, but in reality it is not a true policy goal for them. More tax cuts hidden in deficit reduction packages that do not actually solve our debt problem is the real goal. Tim Pawlenty has decided to sell Republican primary voters what they want to here, rather than telling the truth. Read the Scott Lehigh column on Pawlenty’s proposals here.

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Rollins and Bachmann Take on Palin

Republican campaign advisor Ed Rollins, freshly in place as chief strategist for Michelle Bachmann, used multiple talk show appearances to kick around Sarah Palin. From Politico:

“Sarah has not been serious over the last couple of years,” he said. “She got the vice presidential thing handed to her, she didn’t go to work in the sense of trying to gain more substance, she gave up her governorship.”

“Michele Bachmann and others [have] worked hard,” he said. “She has been a leader of the Tea Party which is a very important element here, she has been an attorney, she has done important things with family values.”

Rollins appears to feel the need to separate Bachmann from Palin, even in the absence of a Palin candidacy. I am not quite sure of the strategy, from Bachmann’s perspective, as she appears to be feeding from the same base. But what do I know? Pat Buchanan, on Morning Joe, expressed the same reservation about the Rollins comments. And pro-Palin blogs reacted:

Aides to Palin didn’t respond to inquiries about Rollins’ comments, but a writer on the blog that serves as her supporters’ main voice, Conservatives4Palin, demanded that the Minnesota congresswoman “either affirm her support for the long-time beltway fossil’s idiotic comments…or refudiate them.”

Such good sport! Rollins is rolling the dice, and with these two going at each other Mitt Romney just keeps raising money, building organization, and showing Republicans that he can be a serious competitor to President Obama. Mitt has got to love it. Another day goes by without someone asking him his position on Medicare.

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Methuen Health Care Deal Announced

I was very happy to report a health care deal yesterday with Methuen’s Section 19 Coalition, which includes representatives of all city unions. It is a one year contract (FY12) which continues the substantial changes we enacted in Methuen in FY11. The contract continues our plan as local, and includes a premium increase of 4.6% for our employees. Retirees will see a decrease of 18% in their premiums. Additionally the City, through the strength of our program enacted last year, has offered on a one year basis a HRA that provides a 35% front end benefit for employees that will assist them in dealing with the much larger deductibles that this plan features. Methuen’s City Council ratified the plan last night. My thanks to Donna Gogas of the Methuen Teachers, Tim Sheehy from Methuen’s Firefighters, and all the other unions that participated in the negotiations. It is a good contract for both employee and taxpayer.

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Janice Michienzi is the June Artist of the Month

Mayor William M. Manzi has named Janice Michienzi as June’s Artist of the Month. Janice was born and raised in Methuen. Her maiden name is Mendonsa. She graduated from Tenney High School and attended Bon Secours Hospital and Northeastern University’s Radiologic Technology Program. She went on to work for several Merrimack Valley orthopedic surgeons and radiologists and had a full career as a radiologic /mammographic technologist. She married and had two children, Jason and Jana.

Janice became interested in art in her mid 20’s and has been painting ever since, when time allowed. She learned oil painting first and then went on to acrylics and now is back to mainly painting in oils. Since she retired, she has been able to devote more time to the leisurely enjoyment of painting and has joined The Arts Institute Group of the Merrimack Valley and the Greater Salem Artists Association. She has also painted with and shown her art at DeClerck Gallery in Plaistow, NH under the direction of Nicole Murray. Her art will also be included in the Sky’s The Limit Art Show at Mann’s Orchard on June 11 & 12.

Mayor Manzi stated, “I’d like to personally thank Janice for her participation in this program. She is one of the many talented painters working in our community. It is an honor to display her paintings. I encourage people to come to my office and view her work.”

The Methuen Artist of the Month Program was created by Mayor Manzi five years ago in order to give members of the Methuen Arts Community a forum to display their work and to encourage participation in Methuen’s growing creative economy. Methuen artists interested in being considered for Artist of the Month should contact the Mayor’s Office.

Janice Michienzi is artist of the month

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The President on the Auto Industry

With jobs in the news President Obama has been eager to talk about the new found success of the American auto industry. He visited Ohio to highlight the fact that the American auto industry is back to being profitable after the financial crisis nearly wiped out the Big Three. I am quite sure that he will be reminding some of the folks in Ohio and Michigan that the Republicans were firmly opposed to assisting the U.S. auto industry. No question that the President’s actions saved about a million American jobs and spared us the ignominy of not having a domestic auto industry, but the Republicans still remain opposed to the actions taken by President Obama (and President Bush) I have to say that the criticism has been somewhat muted, with Mitt Romney claiming he was against the help before he was for it. (Or was it the other way around?) A potent issue in the industrial midwest, where the President will need help in 2012. I think the words from Republican Pat Buchanan on the American auto industry highlight the critical importance to the United States of a viable auto sector.

When workers, execs, engineers, dealers, salesmen and suppliers are all factored in, the Big Three employ 3 million people who contribute $21 billion a year to Social Security and Medicare, and $25 billion in federal income taxes. Add in all the businesses that depend on the auto industry, and we are talking about one-tenth of the U.S. labor force.

As columnist Tom Piatak of Chronicles and Takimag.com writes, 850,000 retirees, and their families, depend for pensions and health care on the Big Three. If they go under, the burden falls on us.

And to let the auto industry die is to write America out of much of the economic future of the planet.

So the President, in my opinion, has a good political story to tell on the Big Three automakers. But the job numbers released yesterday were not good news politically, with job growth below expectations, and unemployment still over 9%. The fact that two million jobs have been created in the last fifteen months (as opposed to the massive monthly job losses occurring when he took office) will not be enough to help the President politically. The Republicans teed off on him on that front yesterday, and will likely continue that drumbeat while the unemployment rate stays above 8%. Aside from some talk about “restoring confidence” and tax cutting for upper earners and corporations I have not heard anything from Republicans that leads me to believe they have a cogent plan for job creation. The “confidence fairy” talked about by Paul Krugman will not be creating demand anytime soon.

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Mitt Romney In the Race

Mitt Romney formally declared his intention to run for President, launching his campaign with a full throttle attack on President Obama in New Hampshire. Romney branded Obama a failure, and touted his own ability to provide a better economic future for the nation. Romney continued to paint the picture with the broadest possible strokes, opting for optimism and Republican orthodoxy on small government and free markets as opposed to anything remotely specific. He has steadfastly managed, up to this point, to avoid getting tangled up in the problems that have befallen other Republican contenders, concentrating on raising money and building a nationwide organization. His time has been well spent, and he has to be considered the Republican front-runner based on his clear advantages in those areas. The Democrats seem to think so, as they released a video attacking Romney as he comes out of the gate. Interesting comparison of Romney’s speech to Ronald Reagan’s 1980 announcement speech by Chris Cillizza over at the Washington Post. Of course Mitt was greeted on the right by Sarah Palin, who emphasized Tea Party opposition to health care mandates, no matter at what level of government, and pointedly reminded Governor Romney that he will have a ” big challenge” to win Tea Party votes. Of course Sarah took pains to say that she was not attempting to “step on” the Romney announcement. Of course she wasn’t. Now that he is formally in Romney will eventually have to offer up some policy detail eventually. That is when some of that shine may begin to fade.

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