Haley Barbour is Back in Town

Haley Barbour and the Republican Governor’s Association are back, unleashing a $1.8 million dollar (estimated) ad barrage directed at Governor Deval Patrick. The RGA had earlier unleashed a million dollar barrage against independent Tim Cahill, helping to marginalize him in the race. With Cahill mired in third place the RGA will now go after Patrick for the balance of this campaign. The Patrick campaign fired back. From the Globe:

“We believe that voters care more about the fact that Massachusetts is creating jobs faster than any other state in the nation under Governor Patrick’s leadership than about 30-second TV ads from any outside group,’’ Rubin said in a statement. “Our campaign’s focus has been on connecting with people one-on-one throughout the state and talking with them about the work Governor Patrick is doing to lead Massachusetts out of this recession and maintain our commitment to education, health care, and job creation.’’

The Baker campaign, while nominally stating their opposition to “outside” groups doing these types of ad buys, jumped on the theme of the ads.

Baker’s campaign spokesman, Rick Gorka, said in a statement yesterday that ads sponsored by outside groups should remain outside Massachusetts.

“But regardless of any ad,’’ he added, “Governor Patrick needs to answer for the eight tax increases, $3 billion in higher spending, and record unemployment over the last four years.’’

Baker’s protests do not ring true, but lets face it. Major party candidates are all part of the same hypocrisy on the issue. As far as Tim Cahill goes the Globe did not apparently seek a comment from him. But after what happened in New Jersey in the Governors race won by Chis Christie one has to wonder how Cahill didn’t see this coming????

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AFL-CIO Endorses Governor Patrick

The State AFL-CIO yesterday endorsed Governor Patrick, despite a series of public squabbles between the Governor and organized labor. The Governor has had disagreements with labor over police details, Quinn bill funding, and very notably the casino bill, which recently stalled on Beacon Hill. Despite those public disagreements, and despite Tim Cahill taking some very pointedly pro-union stands, the Governor won the AFL-CIO endorsement. From the State House News Service:

“Elections are about electing the best candidate and standing up for a set of values,” state AFL-CIO President Robert Haynes, who boasts of 400,000 members, said in a statement. “Deval Patrick is the best candidate because of his values. It has been loud and clear that unions and the families we represent have not agreed with Governor Patrick on everything. But we want to be even louder and crystal clear that we agree with him on the important things, chief among them the values we share about the role of government.”

The endorsement will help the Governor with troops and money, and that is a good thing for him. But the rank and file, as noted in the State House News article, do not blindly follow leadership. Union households (at 49%) gave Scott Brown some pretty big support. And labor is not in a real good political position these days. Republican Charlie Baker will (and has) accused the Governor of being in the political debt of “union bosses”. The ad posted here does just that, and it was released before the announcement by the AFL.

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The GOP Pledge to America

The Republicans will tomorrow unveil their “Pledge to America”, looking to mimic the success of the Newt Gingrich “Contract with America”. The 21 page document used plenty of Republican boilerplate about cutting taxes, protecting the constitution, etc. I have posted the full document below. For the purposes of this post I would like to focus on the portions of the document dealing with the federal deficit. From the Republican Pledge:

Our Plan to Put Government on a Path to a Balanced Budget
We will have a responsible, fact-based conversation with the American people about the scale of the fiscal challenges we face, and the urgent action that is required to deal with them. We will curb Washington’s spending habits and promote job creation, bring down the deficit, and build long-term fiscal stability.
• Act Immediately to Reduce Spending: There is no reason to wait to reduce wasteful and unnecessary spending. Congress should move immediately to cancel unspent “stimulus” funds, and block any attempts to extend the timeline for spending “stimulus” funds. Throwing more money at a stimulus plan that is not working only wastes taxpayer money and puts us further in debt.

• Cut Government Spending to Pre-Stimulus, Pre-Bailout Levels: With common-sense exceptions for seniors, veterans, and our troops, we will roll back government spending to pre-stimulus, pre-bailout levels, saving us at least $100 billion in the first year alone and putting us on a path to begin paying down the debt, balancing the budget, and ending the spending spree in Washington that threatens our children’s future.

• Establish a Hard Cap on New Discretionary Spending: We must put common-sense limits on the growth of government and stop the endless increases. Only in Washington is there an expectation that whatever your budget was last year, it will be more this year and even more the next. We will set strict budget caps to limit federal spending on an annual basis. Budget caps were used in the 1990s, when a Republican Congress was able to bring the budget into balance and eventual surplus. By cutting discretionary spending from current levels and imposing a hard cap on future growth, we will save taxpayers hundreds of billions of dollars.

• Cut Congress’ Budget: This year, Congress increased its own budget by 5.8 percent at a time when families and small businesses across the country are cutting back. We will make Congress do more with less by significantly reducing its budget.

• Hold Weekly Votes on Spending Cuts: Earlier this year, House Republicans launched the YouCut initiative to combat the permissive culture of runaway spending in Congress. Over the course of nine weeks, YouCut produced proposals to save taxpayers more than $120 billion. We will continue to hold weekly votes on spending cuts.

• End TARP Once And For All: Americans are rightly outraged at the bailouts of businesses and entities that force responsible taxpayers to subsidize irresponsible behavior. We will cancel the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), a move that would save taxpayers roughly $16 billion.

• End Government Control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: Since taking over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage companies that triggered the financial meltdown by giving too many high risk loans to people who couldn’t afford them, taxpayers were billed more than $145 billion to save the two companies. We will reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac by ending their government takeover, shrinking their portfolios, and establishing minimum capital standards. This will save taxpayers as much as $30 billion.

• Impose a Net Federal Hiring Freeze of Non-Security Employees: Small businesses and entrepreneurs are the engine of our economy and should not be crowded out by unchecked government growth. We will impose a net hiring freeze on non-security federal employees and ensure that the public sector no longer grows at the expense of the private sector.

• Root Out Government Waste and Duplication: Once created, federal programs almost never go away, even if the problem they were created to address is no longer relevant. More than 20 states have addressed this problem by requiring that programs end – or “sunset” – by a date certain. We will adopt this requirement at the federal level to force Congress to determine if a program is worthy of continued taxpayer support.

• We will make the decisions that are necessary to protect our entitlement programs for today’s seniors and future generations. That means requiring a full accounting of Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, setting benchmarks for these programs and reviewing them regularly, and preventing the expansion of unfunded liabilities.

While there may well be some things that will marginally promote deficit reduction the Republicans, who have been ferocious in their criticism of Democrats and the President on the issue, come up empty here. The failure to even put a small dent in the deficit is made worse by the embrace of the extension of the Bush tax cuts with no corresponding offsets, and with the pledge to maintain defense spending at current or higher levels. I guess it is critical to spend on defense, but not so important that we would actually pay for it.

When the Presidents Commission issues its report on the deficit we will see who the deficit hawks really are. You can rest assured that the Republican leadership will run like gazelle from a cheetah when that report advocates revenue increases as well as deep spending reductions.

Both the Speaker and the White House issued the requisite condemnations. They are below.

“Congressional Republicans are pledging to ship jobs overseas; blow a $700 billion hole in the deficit to give tax cuts to millionaires and billionaires; turn Social Security from a guaranteed benefit into a guaranteed gamble; once again, subject American families to the recklessness of Wall Street; and take away patients’ rights,” the spokesman, Nadeam Elshami said in a statement. “Republicans want to return to the same failed economic policies that hurt millions of American and threatened our economy.”

“This is the same agenda that caused the deepest recession since the Great Depression, costing 8 million jobs, wiping out trillions in family wealth and setting middle-class families back,” Pfeiffer wrote. “Instead of a pledge to the American people, Congressional Republicans made a pledge to the big special interests to restore the same economic ideas that benefited them at the expense of middle-class families.”

Read the New York Times story here.

Running from the deficit

gop_pledge_09222010

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The Lt. Governors Debate

The Lt. Governors Debate held today at Suffolk University. Read the Globe story on that debate here.

http://www.statehousenews.com/video/10-09-22debate/player-viral.swf

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Suffolk Poll Governors Race

Channel 7 and Suffolk pollster David Paleologos released a Governors poll yesterday showing Governor Patrick still maintaining a lead over Charlie Baker, with Tim Cahill mired in third place, twenty points behind Baker. The results have Patrick at 41%, Baker at 34%, and Cahill at 14%. (At 14% Cahill at least is in double digits). Baker continues to suffer from an electorate that does not yet know him. Amongst voters that know both candidates Baker holds a slight lead over the Governor. But there is still some definition to be added to the Baker candidacy. And Paleologos thinks Baker needs to worry about adding that definition and not worry so much about Tim Cahill.

“Charlie Baker doesn’t need Tim Cahill (to exit the race) to win this,” Paleologos said. “Charlie Baker needs Charlie Baker to win this.”

On that Cahill issue the poll shows Cahill drawing more support from Baker, but not substantially more.

Should Cahill exit the race, 35 percent of his support would go to Patrick, while 46 percent would go to Baker.

So Cahill lives on, Patrick clings to the lead, and Baker needs to step up his game. Tonights debate could be pivotal. The latest ads are here, including a negative piece on Charlie Baker partially funded by the Democratic Governors Association.

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The Treasurers Race

With Tim Cahill vacating the Treasurer’s spot there is a real race to succeed him, featuring Democrat Steve Grossman and Republican Karen Polito. Grossman has served as chair of both the state and national Democratic Party, and has been a prolific fundraiser for the Party. He is the owner of a business, which has been very successful. Karen Polito is a Republican State Representative from Shrewsbury. Sparring during the debate was lively, with disagreements on Polito’s position that politicians should not be eligible for state pensions, and on Grossman’s position on an income tax rollback to 5 percent. Some pretty good sparring over the sales tax as well. Good debate, worth the watch.

The Treasurers Debate Part 1

The Treasurers Debate Part 2

Treasurers Debate Part 3

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Follow the Tea- Nevada

Tea Party favorite Sharron Angle, despite a huge fusillade of Harry Reid negative ads, has pulled even with the Senate Majority Leader in the latest Rasmussen survey. The latest numbers from Rasmussen have Reid and Angle at 48% (with leaners), a dead heat. Rasmussen shows both candidates with over 50% unfavorable, not surprising considering the negative tone of the campaign. An interesting note is that both Democrats and Republicans have now come home in this race, with both receiving over 80% support from voters affiliated with their parties. But Angle leads by nine points amongst independents, which should be a major concern to Reid and Democrats. If Sharron Angle can lead amongst independents then this is going to be one rough election cycle for Democrats.

Immigration is a big issue in Nevada, and Rasmussen shows that a majority of Nevada voters favor an Arizona type law to deal with immigration. And Angle is on the air whacking Reid over the head on that subject. Reid responded right away, so he recognizes the inherent danger for him on the issue. Both ads are below. Of course Rasmussen rates this a toss-up.

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Massachusetts Governors Race and Municipal Health Care

Rasmussen has a new survey out on the Governor’s race that shows a real tight race, with the bottom falling out on Tim Cahill’s campaign. Rasmussen has Patrick with 42% of the vote, Baker has 38% and Cahill 11%. But Rasmussen now includes so called “leaners”, and when they are included Rasmussen finds:

Patrick earning 45% support, while Baker picks up 42% of the vote when leaners are included. Democrat-turned-Independent candidate Tim Cahill runs a distant third with five percent (5%), and five percent (5%)more favor some other candidate in the race. Two percent (2%) are undecided.

We see Cahill cratering, and Patrick and Baker in a dead heat. Rasmussen has moved this race from “lean democratic” to “tossup”.

A quick editorial point here. I have put the link to the Adrian Walker Globe column below. Walker sort of mocks the municipal health care debate that was the first item of business in this debate.

What we’ve gotten instead is a lot of mush about “seats at the table’’ and who should or shouldn’t join the Group Insurance Commission;

Guess what Adrian. In terms of laying off policemen, firefighters, closing libraries, and decimating all municipal services there is not a more important topic. I fully understand that what I look at as a Mayor is not the most interesting item to write about, but it certainly is the most important issue facing municipalities. Tim Cahill’s position on this is straight out ludicrous. Labor should have a seat at the table, just as they do at the State level. But to highlight the fact that nineteen communities have joined the GIC as evidence that collective bargaining works on this matter is Orwellian. It is hard and real evidence that the system has not worked, and needs reform. Two questions that Braude might have asked that I would love to hear answers on.

1) The State Legislature passed, and the Governor signed, a bill ending 23 and out at the MBTA. That bill also unilaterally changed heath care coverage for MBTA employees. These changes were not collectively bargained, and in fact abrogated existing contracts. Did you support the bill, and if so why would you not support the same type of action on municipal health care?

2) Everyone agrees that health care plan design would save municipalities about $100 million dollars annually. If you believe that no changes should be made to municipal health care plans outside of collective bargaining do you agree that you are imposing higher property taxes on municipal taxpayers to preserve the sanctity of union collective bargaining rights?

Answers?

Read the Adrian Walker column here.

Governors Debate

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President Obama on Special Interest Money

The President spent his weekly talk on special interest money and how it is impacting our electoral process. He is retaking some old ground here, but I am struck by his focus on two items.

1) Transparency: Why do Republicans oppose identifying the source of funding for political ads? We may all disagree about the impact and legality of corporate and special interest money (limitations, first amendment rights, etc) but it is hard to understand how anyone could oppose a provision that forces the source of these monies to be publicly identified.

2) Foreign Corporations: It is an outrage that foreign corporations are allowed to contribute in American elections. There has always been consensus on that issue. Now that consensus appears to be gone on the Republican side. Why would anyone believe that foreign corporations should participate financially in the American political process? I just do not understand that.

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Sarah Boyd Wins the September SOAR Award

The science department is extremely proud to present Methuen High School senior, Sarah Boyd, as this month’s prestigious science SOAR award recipient. Sarah has excelled in honors and advanced placement science courses for four years at Methuen High School, including biology, chemistry, and physics. A very diverse and well respected student, Sarah is the section leader in the Methuen High School Band and President of the Key Club. Sarah has competed in the Methuen High School Science Fair and has proudly represented Methuen at the rigorous Women in Science Competition at Bedford High School and the Women in Science and Technology Program at Boston College. In addition, Sarah is actively involved in the community as part of the Relay for Life and Festival of Trees. Last year, as a junior, Sarah achieved the highest possible score of a “5” on her Advanced Placement Biology examination. Currently ranked second in the senior class, Sarah is taking advanced placement English, advanced placement Calculus, and advanced placement history this year. Sarah’s top college choices include Roger Williams College, Gordon College, Fitchburg State College, and Keene College.

Sarah Boyd wins the September SOAR Award

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