The Battle of Wisconsin Round Two

Governor Scott Walker and the Wisconsin Republican Senate, using a parliamentary maneuver that seemed to take Democrats by surprise, passed legislation that took away the bulk of bargaining rights for public sector unions in Wisconsin yesterday. The Republicans stripped out of the bill the fiscal portions, allowing them to move forward without the Democratic senators who took flight to try to forestall that very vote. A clear victory for Governor Walker in the short term, with both sides preparing for protracted political battle, including the possibility of “recall” campaigns being launched against elected officials on both sides. The Governor will try to consolidate his victory, while the Democrats will try to keep their troops mobilized to prevent that consolidation. Those politics promise to be brutal.

Today’s Washington Post has a piece by E.J. Dionne, who talks about some potentially negative consequences for Republicans from the Battle of Wisconsin. Dionne comes to the discussion with pro-union sentiments, but makes the point that Republicans are burning their bridges with a constituency that has supported them in the past, blue collar working people, or Reagan Democrats. Of course that impact may change, and Walker is not due for re-elect until 2014, but I tend to agree that Republicans have been able to pick up a fair share of union households in the past. That very well may change. A seminal battle for labor, with the first round going to the Republicans.

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Muni Health Care Hearing

The Legislature convened a hearing on municipal health care yesterday, which I was unable to attend.The Mass Mayors had Scott Lang of New Bedford, Kim Driscoll of Salem, and Tom Menino of Boston, amongst many, speaking for giving municipalities health care plan design authority. On Monday leaders of multiple state unions offered what they called a “compromise” on muni-health in advance of yesterday’s hearing. Lets start with the hearing.

Both management and unions were out in force, and legislators heard both sides. The problem that the unions have is that the numbers are not subject to change or spin. From the State House News Service:

But committee members heard over and over that health insurance costs are making other investments impossible.

Since 2000, the cost of employee health care has wiped out increases in state aid from 1993 to 2000 that brought school districts up to targeted funding levels, according to Linda Noonan, executive director of the Massachusetts Business Alliance for Education. From 2000 to 2007, annual health care costs in school budgets grew by $1 billion, $300 more than the rise in Chapter 70 school aid, the chief pot of state funding for local schools, she said.

I covered that study in an earlier blog post, but those numbers are a cold slap in the face. Mike Widmer was at the hearing, and spoke how unsustainable the numbers are.

Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation President Michael Widmer said reforms are necessary to preserve local government services and jobs and noted the pending proposals don’t even attempt to address billions of dollars in unfunded municipal retiree health care liabilities. Widmer said taxpayers are footing the bill for “the most generous health plans in the state” while seeing their own health insurance benefits and local services erode and paying increased property taxes “They are being hit four ways,” he said. “This is an absolute unsustainable situation.”

This situation has been covered relentlessly, but the municipalities, who have seen local aid cut by 40% over the past four years, need relief. And that relief, in the form of health care plan design, would save cities and towns about $100 million per year. It would also allow us to use those savings to retain municipal workers and continue to provide core services to our citizens.

The unions so called counter-offer was dissected pretty effectively by Globe columnist Scot Lehigh, who picks apart the key components of the proposal.

This plan is so silly it doesn’t even merit respectful consideration.

Under labor’s proposal, if unions and municipal management couldn’t agree to an unspecified and non-mandatory — and thus easily sidestepped — “benchmark’’ for health care savings, some kind of binding arbitration would decide the issue. (That idea should be an immediate red flag, given the Menino administration’s experiences with binding arbitration in disputes with both the firefighters and the police union.) Half of any savings through possible plan design changes or joining the state’s Group Insurance Commission would go to union members, at least in year one.

In exchange for those (totally inadequate) provisions, labor proposes limiting the GIC’s mid-year plan-changing flexibility — and increasing labor’s representation on the commission to half (!) the members.

The unions seek half the “savings” from introduction of lower cost plans in municipalities, and then seek to bring to the state GIC what they have brought to localities, which is health care gridlock. They ignore the fact that any reduction in the increase of health care costs to municipal taxpayers will inevitably be spent on job retention, which means that they are getting 100% of the so called “savings”. Their attempt to gain a veto over the actions of the GIC would mean that the state health care system, which provides excellent care at costs substantially lower than municipalities, would likely suffer dramatic costs increases to state taxpayers. I wonder how the state legislature will feel about that proviso? Labor’s proposal probably goes a bit further than they have in the past, but it does not at all come close to solving the problem. Both the Tribune and the Globe wrote editorials pointing out the inherent flaws in the union proposal, and urged the Legislature to move to real muni health care reform. With local aid cuts looming large again the Legislature needs to act in this area. Nothing is more important statewide for localities.

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A Mystery to Me

The Tribune ran two stories today talking about collective bargaining from the Massachusetts perspective. The first, from Bill Kirk, talked about the potential for the Wisconsin fallout to hit Massachusetts. Good piece worth a read. In the story I talk about how the “numbers do not work” and offered my opinion that ultimately the system will need to change to reflect the economic realities involved. The second story, from Shawn Regan, talked about the effort to legislatively overturn the SJC decision limiting municipal contracts to three years. In that story both Mayor Fiorentini and I talked about the harm that such legislation would deal to municipal taxpayers. Certainly adjusting the law to allow such clauses in the future, to be bargained, would be acceptable to many municipal managers. But to legislatively impose them moving backwards would not seem to me to be in line with the idea that these items ought to be collectively bargained.

Some broader points need to be made. The first is that Mayors and Managers must balance municipal budgets. Generally the goal is to do so while maintaining core services. That is what we are paid to do, and in my opinion that is what the public wants us to do. In that context let me address the the items I spoke to directly in the Kirk story. The first point is that municipal employees must pay more for health care. This is true today, and unless cost containment hits the system, it will be true tomorrow. The larger point is not simply to cost shift to employees, but to recognize that the price for the purchase of this “service” is rising by double digits every year. That means that in a realistic and sane world that the purchasers of health care, management and employee, will have to pay more every year. The idea that taxpayers alone would have to foot the annual increases is absurd, but all too often has been the union position. The entire issue of removing health care from collective bargaining in Massachusetts has only come about because of the refusal of local unions to accept some degree of responsible change in the system. You reap what you sow.

The second item I mentioned in the Bill Kirk story was the potential for conversion to a “fixed contribution” pension system for municipal and state employees. That is a bit of a longer shot but I think it should be considered for new employees. Even if it were it obviously would not help with the existing pension problems. So without going into the weeds of pension funding let us examine some of the big picture pension issues. One issue, which has been brought up continually by unions, is that their members are being penalized for the excesses of Wall Street. Pension funds have lost billions in principal, in many cases due to outright fraud. Certainly the unions make an argument here that cannot be disputed. Wall Street essentially looted the country, and pension funds were a big victim. The question is what do we do now? That is where the answers become less than overwhelming. I talked about the Governor’s advocacy for pension deferral this year, which saved the Commonwealth from a huge increase in pension costs in this cycle by stretching out the full funding schedule. It appears as though I was critical, but I am not. I support that proposal because it is coupled with some substantive pension reform measures. And having said where the unions were right earlier, this is where they are dead wrong. Protection of a pension system that allows the flagrant abuses that have occurred in Massachusetts is not politically defensible. And contrary to union assertions, the abuses are not outliers, but rather indicative of a systemic problem in the pension area. And the unions ought to be standing tall for reform in this area, as the public is fed up with the nonsense. Why that is so hard to figure out, from a union political perspective, is a mystery to me.

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All Praise Romney

Who said civility in politics is dead??? We have heard both Governor Deval Patrick and now President Barack Obama go out of their way to highlight and praise the work Mitt Romney did in Massachusetts on health care reform. President Obama issued the praise when speaking to the nation’s governors in Washington, and I thought I saw the small outlines of a smile as he issued the praise. I have no doubt that Mitt Romney is now basking in the glow of the praise from the Governor and President. I am wondering if that praise has already been put into the 30 second attack ads being prepared by Mitt’s Republican opponents. I certainly hope that is not the case, as we would not want to discourage further bipartisan praise of Governor Romney on health care.

http://abcnews.go.com/assets/player/walt2.6/flash/SFP_Walt_2_65.swf

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Blue Cross Clouds the Picture

A Sunday piece in the Lowell Sun, written by John Coughlin of Blue Cross, manages to indirectly criticize Governor Patrick’s push to give greater flexibility to municipalities by giving them the option to join the GIC, by saying that we might all be better off with local control over health plans. The column was carefully crafted, but ultimately totally misleading.

Coughlin’s column, essentially a rehash of a piece he did for Commonwealth Magazine, did not note, as he did in the magazine piece, that Blue Cross considers itself a competitor to the GIC. He makes the following claims in the Sun column:

This is a good story, if only it were true. The truth is the GIC is no panacea and the facts show that, for many communities, moving to the GIC would increase costs, not lower them.

It is true that something must be done to control municipal health-care costs, which now amount to almost 20 percent of local budgets in certain areas. Some communities have opted to join the GIC in the years since it was opened up by the Legislature, and some of them have saved money doing so.

However, to say that all communities will save money if the Legislature mandates cities and towns join the GIC is wrong.

Lets look at that claim. An important point to consider is that the Governor’s plan does not mandate municipal entry to the GIC, and localities have never clamored for a mandated entry to the GIC. What the Governor’s bill does is to force localities to produce a local plan that, on a cost basis, is functionally equivalent to the GIC. Entry is mandated only when the locality cannot meet that test. Coughlin puts up the straw man of some local plans being more cost effective than the GIC. Those plans, if the localities so choose, would remain local.

Coughlin, in his opening, points to the recent study by the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation on unfunded municipal retiree health care costs. He chooses to ignore the Foundation report, (with the Boston Foundation) detailing the cost differences between the GIC and municipal plans overall. Lets look at what that study says about the savings to municipalities from joining the GIC.

This study has found that municipalities across the state stand to save as much as $100 million in fiscal 2009, $750 million in fiscal 2013, and $2.5 billion in fiscal 2018.

Pretty impressive savings statewide by joining the GIC, notwithstanding the fact that a few local plans may have cost parity. And what about the comparison in costs over a defined period between the GIC and municipal plans?

In comparison to the health care cost increases of 84 percent for municipal employees and 72 percent for Boston employees from fiscal 2001 to 2006, the state’s employee health care costs, as managed by the GIC, increased only 47 percent.

So over that five year period the GIC health care costs rose by substantially less than municipal plans, including Boston. The fact that there are outliers does not allow escape from the numbers, which are clear and unambiguous.

The balance of the article talks about things that municipalities can do to try to restrain costs. The only major suggestion, which is incorporated into the Governor’s proposal, is to mandate that eligible municipal retirees enroll in medicare. His other suggestions, like wellness programs for employees, naturally should be done, but will have minimal impact on costs in the immediate future. His other suggestion, about better usage of existing health benefits, is a goal in any municipality that is honestly trying to reduce costs with a local plan in place. That suggestion is subject to collective bargaining.

I did not see, in either the Sun article or the Commonwealth piece, any reference to Governor Patrick’s efforts in the cost control area. The Governor is moving forward with some policy ideas that are going to spur some big debate in health care circles, including the idea of replacing our current system of “fee for service” with a “global payment” system. That is where real cost containment will either occur or not. Instead of subtly attacking a bill that will save municipalities hundreds of millions of dollars Blue Cross should tell us what ideas they have for real cost containment in health care. Maybe that is coming in the next Sun op-ed.

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Paul Downing Wins February SOAR Award

Congratulations to Paul Downing, one of the SOAR Award winners in February. The narrative submitted for his nomination is below.

“It is my great pleasure to nominate Paul Downing for the Methuen High School 2011 SOAR award in the Performing Arts.
As you can see from his impressive resume and long list of awards and achievements, Paul has many and varied talents and interests. In addition to his musical distinctions at Methuen High School as a member of the Ranger band, Dirty Hands Ink, and Ranger Jazz, and his participation at the senior district level, he has a lively interest in theatre both through the theatre department and the Independent Theatre. At this writing, he is preparing his audition for Massachusetts All State Music Festival.
Consistently one of our top academic performers, Paul maintains a full schedule of Advanced Placement courses in English, History, Math, and Science, striving for and achieving excellence at every stage. While he hopes to pursue a college career in the sciences, he is sure to continue his interests in music, theatre, and creative writing. He is a student of whom the Fine Arts Department, Methuen High School and the City of Methuen can be justly proud. We wish him the very best as he continues his academic journey.”
Paul Downing wins February SOAR Award

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Rahm Rolls in Chicago

Rahm Emanuel rolled to victory in Chicago yesterday, crushing all opposition by outworking, outsmarting and outraising his opposition. For me it was a foregone conclusion when he announced because he is a campaign demon, willing to work like a dog to achieve victory. His ability to raise money and attract media coverage had no peer in this race. Now comes the hard part, with Chicago facing monumental financial problems. Rahm will not, in my opinion, govern as many expect. He will prove to be more unconventional than many currently believe. And he will be at work around the clock, driving his agenda relentlessly. David Axelrod showed up at his victory party, extolling the virtues of Chicago’s nine and a half fingered Mayor. Read the Politico story here.

 http://chicagotribune.vid.trb.com/player/PaperVideoTest.swf

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Methuen Single Stream Recycling Report

This year Methuen instituted single stream recycling city wide, with curb side pickup. I have received some numbers from the five month mark that show that single stream is having a positive impact on overall recycling numbers. The improvement is solid, but as a city we need to do even more to recycle and reduce our solid waste stream. For the first five months of this fiscal year recycling tonnage went from 907 tons to 1047 tons, reflecting a 15.4% increase in recycling. Correspondingly we saw a drop in our solid waste stream from 6991 tons generated to 6699 tons generated, a 292 ton reduction, representing a 4.2% reduction in solid waste.

This is a great improvement, but we can and should do more. Do you have any ideas to improve the rate of recycling in Methuen? Send your suggestions or comments to recycling@ci.methuen.ma.us Lets keep up the good work and strive to further reduce our costs as a city by driving that recycling rate even higher.

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The Billion Dollar Question

Governor Deval Patrick unveiled his budget for FY12, and we have talked about some of the ramifications of his recommended cut in local aid as well as his proposal on municipal health care. But little has been written, up to now, on the key linchpin of Governor Patrick’s budget, which is his budgeted savings of about $1 billion dollars in health care. Secretary Jay Gonzalez recently testified at a legislative hearing, and said that the billion dollar savings was achievable. From the State House News Service:

“It’s increasing co-pays. It’s reducing benefits. It’s reducing provider rates,” Jay Gonzalez, secretary of administration and finance, told lawmakers at a State House hearing. “There’s no question about it.”

Gonzalez said those “hard savings,” which also include limiting state reimbursement for preventable readmissions to hospitals, would slash about $450 million in projected health care cost growth.

“I think a billion dollars is achievable. We have to do this,” he said. “These proposals are the way we can get there.”

So, from a political perspective, the Governor will likely manage to nick just about all of the stakeholders in the health care system, which may make legislative progress difficult. He is taking on a herculean task, as he is faced with the loss of additional federal stimulus money that had been helping to finance health care spending (about $1.5 billion) as well as a natural expansion of the eligible population. Currently Mass Health covers about 1.3 million people, while Commonwealth Care covers about 161,000 people. The Governor’s own estimates show an increased caseload in Mass Health (in FY12) of about 4.5%, bringing that number to about 1.36 million, while he estimates growth in Commonwealth Care of about 8%, bringing that number to an estimated 174,000.

With even the Governor estimating increased enrollment, and with the loss of federal stimulus money, his job is truly difficult. And keep in mind that cuts in Mass Health also result in less existing federal reimbursements, making State savings a bit more difficult.

The Governor’s budget essentially levels funds Mass Health at $10.507 billion, despite the increased enrollment and medical inflation. The estimated shortfall from that budgetary allocation is about $800 million. The Governor also level funds Commonwealth Care at $822 million. All seem to agree that based on those numbers the Governor needs to make program changes to save about $1 billion dollars.

I am not looking to get into the weeds of health care spending here, but the Mass Budget and Policy Center has provided some interesting tidbits on the Governor’s proposal. Where does he hope to achieve these savings?

Provider and Managed Care Organization Rates
Reduces rates or payments to health care providers resulting in total savings of $150 million, for a net savings to the state of approximately $75 million. These cuts include: not paying
hospitals for “preventable” readmissions that occur within 30 days; reducing transition payments to certain hospitals; reducing hospital rate “add-ons” for hospitals that serve a disproportionate share of publicly funded patients; eliminating special payments to community health centers to support
increased dental capacity; and eliminating payments to nursing facilities to hold a patient’s bed for up to 10 days while the patient receives care in a hospital.
• Eliminates rate increases for managed care plans for a projected savings of $169 million in total, or $84 million in net savings to the state.
Service Delivery
• Includes a proposal for aggressive contracting of most state-administered health care programs: MassHealth, Commonwealth Care, the Group Insurance Commission which purchases coverage for state employees, dependents and retirees, and the Medical Security Program for the unemployed. The Governor estimates total savings of $351 million to the MassHealth program alone from competitive
procurement of services for up to 800,000 of its members. This initiative focuses on care integration and care management for high risk populations and aims to lay the foundation for delivery system and payment reforms throughout the health care system.

The changes are not limited to the above. The Governor increases co-pays for prescription drugs for certain categories of Mass Health recipients (means tested), continues to limit dental coverage in both Mass Health and Commonwealth Care programs, and looks to make major cuts in the Adult Day Health Program, cutting $55 million (for a State savings of $27 million).

The Governor is also looking to drive enrollees into “managed care” plans, which limit choice but save the State considerable money. He is rolling out managed care in the State GIC, which covers state employees (and which may soon cover most municipal employees). From the State House News Service:

At Wednesday’s hearing, Gonzalez identified “limited networks” as a core component of the administration’s strategy to reduce health care costs. Insurers that offer limited networks restrict their members’ access to hospitals, community health centers and other health care providers that offer care at more affordable rates, reducing consumer choice but also resulting in substantially lower costs. Last month, the Group Insurance Commission approved a plan requiring all participating insurers to offer limited network plans, and the governor has proposed covering the first three months of premiums for any employees who choose to join a limited network plan.

Although Gonzalez noted that the administration won’t require Commonwealth Care insurers, and likely won’t require MassHealth insurers to form limited networks, he said he thinks insurers participating in those programs will offer them to meet strict cost limitations.

“That will be a consequence of the procurement strategy,” he said.

The Governor is truly taking aggressive steps to contain costs. The question is will they save the type of money needed to keep his budget in balance. And if the Legislature does not agree with some or all of Governor Patrick’s recommendations in this area how will they look to make up what could be a large shortfall in the budget. The Governor recommended a 7% local aid cut. Will Legislative changes to the health care cost savings in the Governor’s submission require further cuts in local aid, as well as other critical parts of the State budget? That is the billion dollar question.

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Kasey Walko Wins February SOAR Award

Congratulations to Kasey Walko, who was one of the SOAR Award winners at the February School Committee meeting.

Statement of Recommendation and Recognition:

When I arrive at school each morning, before 7 am., Kasey Walko is already waiting at the art room door, excited about spending half an hour before school creating art. Her love of art and excitement about ideas is contagious. She inspires me as a teacher and prompts her classmates to be more creative. Kasey is a dedicated, determined, and creative young woman. She is a student who makes teaching a joy. In addition to completing all of her work on time, she spends many extra hours after school pushing herself to be an even better artist. Although the senior class of 2011 has many good art students, Kasey was the immediate and unanimous choice for the SOAR award. Her enthusiasm, positive attitude and willingness to help out, make her stand out from her classmates.
Kasey has been a top student in every art class she has taken. Her writing, enthusiasm and critical thinking skills make her the top student in Honors Art History class, and her technical skill, willingness to experiment and discover new ideas and materials make her an excellent student in Advanced Placement Studio Art. Her junior year, Kasey was the top student in the honors portfolio class, even though most of her classmates were seniors.
Kasey loves to spread her excitement for art. She is always willing to discuss art and ideas with staff and fellow students. She also co-founded the Art Club, to provide a creative outlet for a large group of students after school. She has taught art club members about art styles and techniques. Kasey also arranged for demonstrations by various art teachers, when she felt that she could not teach a particular subject as well as she would like. She also serves as an intern for ceramics.
Kasey Walko wins February SOAR Award

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