Mayor Bloomberg on Infrastructure

Mayor Michael Bloomberg, along with former Governors Ed Rendell and Arnold Schwarzenegger have joined forces to talk about America’s continued failure to fund the infrastructure needs of our nation. The new group they have formed, Building America’s Future, is advocating a ten year program that would devote $200 billion annually to restoring our crumbling infrastructure. They have issued an impressive report that breaks out into three areas.

The first section of the report, A Mounting Crisis, makes the case why U.S. infrastructure has fallen from first place in the World Economic Forum’s 2005 economic competitiveness ranking to number 15 today. We have let more than a half-century go by without devising a strategic plan on a
national scale to update our freight and passenger transport systems. The size of our federal investment in transportation infrastructure as a share of GDP has been dwindling for decades, and most federal funds are dispersed to projects without imposing accountability and performance measures. This lack of vision, lack of funding, and lack of accountability has left every mode of transportation in the United States—highways and railroads, airports and sea ports—stuck in the last century and ill-equipped for the demands of a churning global economy.

The second section of the report, Losing Ground to Our Global Competitors, takes
an international look at transportation infrastructure and highlights certain themes that unify our competitors’ plans while setting our transportation policies apart. Governments around the world—from the EU to China, Canada to Australia—are making unprecedented national investments in transportation infrastructure on the basis of new plans to promote economic growth through infrastructure. Guided by principles of improving economic efficiency and sustainability, other countries are devoting most of their attention and resources to building the high-tech and low-carbon networks for the 21st century. In
particular, they are investing in intermodal freight facilities and strategic corridors, and they are building high-speed rail. A comparative look at high-speed rail networks around the world offers lessons about how to successfully build high-speed rail in strategic corridors—namely between Boston and
Washington, between LA and San Francisco, and in a hub-and-spoke around Chicago—that will ease air travel congestion around the country and unlock potential economic growth in those regions.

Recommendations for Reform include:

1) Develop a national infrastructure strategy for the next decade that makes choices based on economics, not politics.

2) Pass a 6-year transportation bill updated to compete in the 21st-century global economy.

3) Be both innovative and realistic about how to pay.

4) Promote accountability and innovation.

The plan has so many features that make sense that it is difficult to know where to begin. The jobs feature alone would be a huge boost to our country. But it is not really a jobs program, but advocacy for updating our infrastructure so that we can remain competitive as a country with our foreign “business partners”. The idea that we can just let our infrastructure rot is simply not acceptable. Another point that makes good sense is the idea of applying these potential new dollars on the basis of merit, in response to studies showing what our real infrastructure needs are. We need a plan for responsible spending, not spending based on Congressional seniority. Overall, as the Mayor points out, it may appear to be counter-intuitive. But our infrastructure will crumble without the necessary new investment. And that investment, and those jobs, are needed now.

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Pawlenty Shoots for Survival in Ames

The Ames Straw poll takes place this week, with a pre-straw poll debate hosted by Fox News on Thursday. With front-runner Mitt Romney taking a pass on Ames the straw poll has taken on great significance for Tim Pawlenty, who has invested heavily in an Iowa ground game that appears to be making progress. Iowa front runner Michelle Bachmann appears less organized, but still better placed to win the event based on crowd enthusiasm and polling. Ron Paul is pushing hard as well, looking to finish in the top three. And Texas Governor Rick Perry appears poised to enter the race, although his name was left off the Ames straw poll ballot. (Sarah Palin was also left off.) With Perry coming in Rasmussen has done some new Iowa polling:

The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Iowa’s Likely Caucus Participants shows that Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann attracts 22% support, while former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney earn 21%. Just slightly behind is Texas Congressman Ron Paul at 16%, followed by Texas Governor Rick Perry at 12% and former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty at 11%.

While Perry will not be on Ames ballot his entry will further marginalize Pawlenty, who will not be able to sustain a fifth place finish in the regular Iowa caucuses. I think he finishes in the top four in Ames, but that may well put him on life support. Pawlenty has driven the only strategy available to him, which is to downplay expectations while pouring money and organization into catching Bachmann by surprise at Ames. If he succeeds he will get a big media bump, and new life. Old pro Ed Rollins over at Team Bachmann is working very hard to make sure that does not happen. The attached Fox video shows just where Pawlenty is training his fire: right on Bachmann. Predictions?

http://video.foxnews.com/v/embed.js?id=1098123798001&w=466&h=263Watch the latest video at video.foxnews.com

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Sarah Hits the Mittster

Sarah Palin launched a hard attack on Mitt Romney, nominally on the issue of his failure to state a position on the debt ceiling debate until very late, but in reality taking on his decision to run quiet on the campaign trail. Romney has concentrated his efforts into fundraising, organizing, and limited public comments on anything. Romney eventually came out against the debt deal, but it was not good enough for Governor Palin, who wants principled candidates in the Republican race. Palin did praise Michelle Bachmann, who came out early and hard against any increase in the debt ceiling. Will Romney eventually be smoked out, or will he continue to be allowed to fly under the political radar screen by Republicans? For all the Romney bashing going on on the Republican side I have not yet seen another candidate with a path to victory. Mitt appears to be set on a general election strategy that may enrage a big portion of the Republican base.

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April Story is August Artist of the Month

Mayor William M. Manzi has named April Story as August’s Artist of the Month. April, a mermaid and fantasy artist, grew up in Amesbury, MA. As a child, she had a vivid imagination. Growing up she believed unicorns ate the apples off the trees in her yard, fairies flew around causing mischief and mermaids swam in the ocean with the dolphins. She brings a bold and slightly abstract view to her mermaids using acrylics on canvas along with mixed textures. Her dream is for people of all ages to have her paintings hanging in their homes.

When asked where she draws her inspiration from, she says: “I am often drawn to nature, energy and emotions. Sometimes I will find myself day dreaming while outside and it will just hit me. For example, I would see a rainbow and at the time I would be feeling insecure and next thing I know I will start to see images in my mind that intertwine what I am seeing and feeling. For the most part I see colors but then I start to see shapes and movement within my mind and I instantly see the next painting.”

April received her associate’s degree in Graphic Design from NECC in Haverhill but decided to become a visual artist instead. She is currently a member of the Greater Haverhill Artist Association as well as the Arts Institute Group of Methuen.

Mayor Manzi stated, “I’d like to thank April for her participation in this program. She is one of the many talented young painters working in our community. It is an honor to display her artwork. I encourage people to come to my office and view her paintings.”

The Methuen Artist of the Month Program was created by Mayor Manzi five years ago in order to give members of the Methuen Arts Community a forum to display their work and to encourage participation in Methuen’s growing creative economy. Methuen artists interested in being considered for Artist of the Month should contact the Mayor’s Office.

April Story is August Artist of the Month

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The New Hostage!

With all of the nonsense that is being kicked around out there in the media and with all of the blogs (left and right) you might actually think that this “debt ceiling agreement” amounted to something. One of the biggest political hoaxes perpetrated on folks since the last debt deal between Congress and the Administration. Both parties are talking about sending the no-compromise types onto the special Congressional Committee. Hilarious. Does anybody really expect that defense cuts and medicare cuts, put together without a thought to impacts on either, will be allowed to go forward? That is even more hilarious. Spare us the drama. The deal coming down the pike will center on the extension of the Bush tax cuts, which the President can stop on his own. The Republicans may just find out that hostage taking is a two way street.

The upcoming deal will include tax revenues that have been taken, up to this point, off the table by Republicans. The deal on revenues will be well north of $1 trillion, and will include major changes sought by Democrats. The deal will also make changes in entitlements that will save real money, and possibly the reduction of some tax rates, as well as the abolition of the Alternative Minimum Tax. Repatriation of overseas corporate money at greatly reduced tax rates will also be included, if it has not already occurred by next year. The Republicans will be faced with a President who will simply let the entire array of the Bush tax cuts expire for all in the absence of such an agreement. That is worth $4 trillion over ten years. As the attached clip from Steve Rattner shows the prescriptions advocated by both parties, as far as deficit reduction goes, are nowhere near what is needed. Ezra Klein talked about the President’s leverage in today’s column. We will now find out how good of a negotiator the President really is.
That column had the take given by noted deficit hawk Alice Rivlin, who was on the Simpson/Bowles Committee, and co-chaired her own deficit panel with Republican Pete Domenici

“We always started by asking how to slow the growth of entitlements, because that’s what’s driving the budget deficits,” she says. “But then we would find there’s nothing you can do that gets you much money in the near term. Then we would go after discretionary spending, and cap or freeze that. But after we did all that, we would realize we hadn’t closed the gap. This happened on both commissions. And that’s when everyone would realize you need more revenue and turn to improving the tax code.”

That is just what Paul Ryan realized as well, but he just has not admitted it yet. Despondent Democrats should stop whining, and realize that the major engagement has yet to be fought.

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Deal of the Century!

And so the debt ceiling crisis comes to an end, with both sides screaming bloody murder and claiming that all sorts of nastiness will flow from this agreement. Seems to me like much ado about nothing. Conservatives are crowing that they have imposed deep cuts and changed the direction of Washington, while the left has been screaming about the affront to the country from these draconian cuts. What a big pile of nonsense. The bill is essentially the McConnell plan on steroids, with the legislation allowing the ceding of Congressional authority to the President, who will gain a $400 billion dollar increase immediately, with the second installment of $500 billion subject to a vote of Congressional disapproval that the President can veto. That is McConnell, pure and simple. As far as the spending “cuts” that everybody is howling about they amount to $21 billion in FY12. And folks are screaming about that??? Hilarious. The budgetary caps imposed after FY12 apparently limit the growth from an assumed baseline, but do not cut nominal dollars. As far as the so called trigger mechanism for “enforcement” of additional cuts, as Senator Coburn so correctly points out in the attached video, these “rules” have been violated for years by Congress. Pay-go was routinely shredded by declaration of “emergency”.

The Democrats survive with no changes, today, to entitlement programs. This reluctance on the part of ALL involved to taking deficit reduction into the areas where the money is simply means that worthwhile discretionary programs may suffer some, but for now the real action on deficit reduction, spending, and taxing has been deferred. The debt ceiling, in my opinion, was not the right vehicle for solving the massive fiscal problems we face. But for now I am in agreement with Coburn. This deal does nothing like its critics say, and will be shredded pretty quickly when the time comes.

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What is the Agenda?

Through most of the raise the debt ceiling debate I have been relentlessly critical of Republicans. They deserve harsh criticism for their conduct and false policy prescriptions. Their willful ignorance of real numbers, their false description of the potential outcomes of the policies they advocate, and the willingness to substitute sloganeering for real governing should bring them the criticism they so richly deserve. But what of the Democrats? Have they covered themselves in glory by being the anti-Republicans? How has the President performed? As a Democrat I think that they have performed poorly, and to say so is only to say the obvious.

What is the problem with the Democratic approach, and is there any merit to the criticisms made of the Democrats by the Republicans? The main talking point put forth by Republicans has been the lack of a “Democratic plan”. As the debt ceiling negotiations unfolded I agreed with the President that he should not commit his potential compromises to paper, since without an agreed framework the Republicans would simply take any concessions (on Medicare for example) and use them to politically insulate themselves from Democratic attacks as well as pushing the negotiations further in their direction. No framework, no paper. Where the Republican attacks have merit is on the lack of a Democratic budget (having Obama’s submission defeated 97-0 did not help) as well as a deficit reduction plan that people could take seriously. The Republicans put forth Ryan, and for all of its flaws it put down a marker. Where is the Democratic alternative, and the leadership needed to drive home Bowles-Simpson, or some more acceptable alternative? Where was the attempt to take the Gang of Six framework, and make it a vehicle that achieves things most sane people believe we need? What do we need? A credible deficit reduction package that recognizes, as Bowles-Simpson does, that you cannot begin austerity in year one, but must build into it. The Democrats are rightfully clamoring for tax code changes that would straighten out some of the inequities that exist, but does anybody take seriously the idea that every time a potential spending reduction is broached that Democrats answer that we should raise the rates on top earners to solve the problem? You can only spend that pot of money once, and it is a limited pot of money at that. Raising the top rates to Clinton/Reagan levels WILL NOT, solve our budget problems. What it would do is to show that all the pain in any restructuring would not be borne entirely by SS/Medicare/Medicaid recipients. What is needed, in my view, is a revamping of the tax code to produce additional revenue while lowering marginal rates. Simplification should be in the interests of all, Democrats and Republicans alike. Additional revenue attractive to Democrats, with marginal rate reductions very attractive to Republicans. That deal is available to Democrats, but it would require some risk taking and spending of capital. Has not happened.

A serious discussion on entitlements will necessarily involve some modifications that may be unpalatable on their face to Democrats. But to simply say that no problem exists, or to say no to any potential adjustments, (as they did to the relatively benign Simpson-Bowles recommendations) is to deny reality and to cede ground to Republicans. We must get serious, and if there is a set of Democratic policy prescriptions for deficit reduction, Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security then maybe we should say what they are.

The last word is that Democrats would likely point to Republican antics on health care, and maybe say “why get serious when the Republicans are not at all interested in real solutions”? They would have a valid point. The treatment of the Obama health care plan, the Republican refusal to say how they would cover the uninsured, the Republican refusal to say what THEY ARE FOR, has served as the template for the Democratic response on entitlements. Despite that I believe that the Democrats have to stand for something on the deficit/entitlement debate. So far the debate is being carried by the Republicans, who stand for something. I believe the President is absolutely right when he says we need a “balanced approach” to deficit reduction. It is the only way forward that makes sense. But eventually details do matter. It is time for the Democrats to fill in the blanks.

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The Balanced Budget Amendment Fraud

The Speaker finally managed to get a bill through the House yesterday, being forced to add language that would force a “balanced budget amendment” through Congress before a second, and necessary hike in the debt ceiling. Naturally the Senate rejected the Boehner bill in short order, and Boehner is about to return the favor by scheduling for vote, and defeat, the Reid bill. As has been the case from day one no bill will progress unless it has bipartisan support. Other than that this group will have caused lasting, and unnecessary damage to the American economy. But what about this balanced budget amendment? States, localities, and families have to balance their budgets! Why shouldn’t the federal government be forced to do so? And is it not hypocritical of people who claim to be deficit hawks to be opposed to a “balanced budget amendment”?

The “balanced budget amendment”, as filed by the Republican caucus in the House, calls for a mandatory balancing of the federal budget. The issue here is not a balanced budget. Quite obviously Congress is off kilter on that as we speak, with the federal government running annual deficits of over a trillion dollars. President Obama has been heavily criticized by Republicans for this debt, as they continue to try to make political gain by exploiting deficits they helped to create. Republicans point to these deficits as if they fell in out of the sky, with a big spending Barack Obama on a relentless drive to spend us into oblivion. So what is the truth?

1) Federal spending is at about 24% of GDP, a historic high (up from about 20% in 2007) So Obama must be guilty as charged? Well, as Paul Krugman points out on his blog, ratios have both numerators and denominators. With GDP growth slowed and spending on safety net programs increased due to recession, Krugman shows that the discretionary increases in spending essentially amount to the Obama stimulus, which likely added about one point of GDP spending. As Krugman shows clearly there has been no “spending binge” by Barack Obama. What about federal spending in nominal terms. Here is the breakdown, liberated from the Krugman blog:

2002: $2.0 trillion
2003: $2.2 trillion
2004: $2.3 trillion
2005: $2.5 trillion
2006: $2.7 trillion
2007: $2.7 trillion
2008: $3.0 trillion
2009: $3.5 trillion
2010: $3.5 trillion
2011: $3.8 trillion (budgeted)

So contrary to Republican claims there has not been a huge hike in spending under President Obama. But there has been a huge increase in the annual deficit. So Obama must be guilty of wanton and reckless deficit spending? Lets look at the second important figure.

2) Revenues are slightly below 15% of GDP, a historic low. The drop is due to the recession, and obviously to the tax policies promulgated by President Bush. The number, a drop in the historical number of between 18% and 20%, shows just what a line of nonsense Republicans are selling when they blame Obama for deficits, and keep repeating the mantra that you have a “spending problem” and not a “revenue problem”. You in reality have a spike in mandatory spending associated with Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, as well as spending on programs associated with the recession, such as unemployment insurance and food stamps. A good chunk of the Obama increase went to assist states and localities suffering from the impacts of the Great Recession. Despite that help State and Local governments have shed hundreds of thousands of jobs. Without the federal assistance states and localities, in many instances, would have lost much of their ability to provide services. But Republicans honestly like that prospect, since it fits with their goal to change some financially questionable practices of the states by vaporizing, rather than reforming, those governments.

So the Republican’s are attacking the deficit, and clamoring for a constitutional amendment. But no Republican I talk to can answer the following question. Why don’t the Republicans simply file a balanced budget? I realize that the Democrats would not vote for such budgets, but Democratic votes are not what is at issue. For Republicans I ask that question, and one other. Am I wrong when I represent that the much ballyhooed Paul Ryan budget has trillions in future deficit spending? If those questions can be answered then maybe I could understand the call for amending the constitution. What are the answers to those questions. Where is the balanced budget that Republicans say we need. WHERE IS THEIR PLAN?

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Why Didn't We Think of That

After all this debate about raising the debt ceiling, with all the potential for financial calamity, with all the political posturing and slings and arrows, it appears that we have all missed the boat. Rep. Paul Broun, House Republican, yesterday suggested what we have all been missing. The Debt Ceiling should actually be lowered, not raised. Yes that is the ticket.

On the other side of the Hill Senator John McCain took to the floor of the Senate to describe as “bizarro” the Republican notion that you could predicate a debt ceiling deal on the passage of a balanced budget amendment. Bizarro indeed. McCain stated the obvious, which is that people selling that concept are either ignorant or willfully deceiving people. Have to agree that McCain has that part of it right. What is achievable through this process, from a Republican perspective, has been twisted and bent into something that is unrecognizable. McCain’s tirade did not go without an answer from the Tea Party. From CNN.

Mark Meckler is co-founder of the Tea Party Patriots. He told CNN that many Americans support a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution – and “What Republicans should be doing is pushing all the way to the line.” As for McCain’s quoting the Wall Street Journal’s line about “tea party hobbits,” Meckler used his own Lord of the Rings metaphor to strike back at the senator.
“Clearly he’s been corrupted by the ring of power,” Meckler said.
Republican Sharron Angle, who lost her Nevada Senate bid against Democratic Sen. Harry Reid in 2010 with support from the tea part movement, praised the “hobbits” while taking a jab at McCain.
“As in the fable, it is the hobbits who are the heroes and save the land,” Angle said in a statement. “It is regrettable that a man seeking dialogue, action and cooperation for votes on the floor of the United States Senate has only one strategy to achieve that effort: name-calling. Nice.”

The Speaker will bring his plan to a floor vote today, and I must give him a bit of credit. He whipped the troops yesterday, telling them to “get their asses in line”, and he very well may have saved himself from a humiliating defeat at the hands of his own caucus. If he does succeed in the House then Harry Reid will have some decisions to make. But whatever those decisions may be I feel that Reid, McConnell, and Boehner have a tacit understanding on something. An amended Boehner bill that goes back to the House in different form may well push the House Republican caucus into another corner. The high stakes chess game continues. Has the game been rigged in advance?

http://embed.crooksandliars.com/v/MjEzMjUtNDgzMzc?color=C93033

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Fools on Parade

The Republican House, acting like the Gang that couldn’t shoot straight, has produced a partisan bill to raise the debt ceiling, only to see the CBO score it as not cutting what it originally said, seeing House Republicans abandon their own Speaker’s bill,and seeing Republican Senators urging a no vote. Boehner, in light of united Democratic opposition, has had to pull his bill, leaving the entire House Republican effort in tatters. Boehner is now dealing with the same level of intransigence from his own caucus that Democrats have been facing in trying to cobble together a deal with him. As has been obvious for some time it is the House Republican caucus that is pushing this country towards default.

On top of Boehner’s problems within his caucus he is facing a rebellion from powerful outside Republican interest groups. The Club for Growth, and other groups, has come out strongly against the Boehner bill. Boehner’s political decision, which was to get a bill out of the House strictly on a partisan basis, has blown up in his face. If the Democratic caucus delivers zero votes for the Boehner approach, which is what Boehner would be delivering for Pelosi if the roles were reversed, then his approach is on life support. He must then deal with Pelosi and Steny Hoyer to produce a bill that can actually get 100-150 Democratic votes, and get a bill over to the Senate. Either that, or we are back to McConnell. Even the Wall Street Journal is frustrated with the Republican caucus.

Best of Luck Mr. Speaker.

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