Manzi in the Morning-Chairman Sean Fountain Interview

Methuen City Council Chairman Sean Fountain came on the show on WCAP 980 am to talk about the newly passed municipal budget, the solicitor search, and the position of Director of Public Health. My thanks to Chairman Sean Fountain for taking the time to come on the program.

http://yourlisten.com/swf/Player.swf?id=16995414

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The Fat Lady Sings- Suffolk Bellwether Poll Points to Big Markey Win

Suffolk University and pollster David Paleologos have today released a new statewide poll showing Congressman Ed Markey with a double digit lead over Republican Gabriel Gomez. The new statewide survey has Markey leading by 52% to 42%, which is less than the twenty point margins that some other polling operations are showing, but comfortable enough for pollster Paleologos to call it for Markey: From the Suffolk press release:

“These numbers suggest that tomorrow night Ed Markey will make the transformation from congressman to senator-elect,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. “The only question is whether Markey’s margin over Gomez will be greater than Elizabeth Warren’s eight- point win over Scott Brown last November.”

Paleologos has also released “bellwether” numbers, with the communities of Lowell, Dartmouth, and South Hadley serving as the “bellwether” communities. From the press release:

The bellwether areas of Lowell, Dartmouth and South Hadley all pointed to a big win for Markey as well. In Lowell, Markey led 49 percent to 38 percent; in Dartmouth his lead was 52 percent to 37 percent; and in South Hadley the lead was 51 percent to 37 percent.

Some other interesting tidbits from the poll include the fact that 75% of the respondents did not see the last Markey/Gomez debate (a sign of the lack of interest) along with a drop in approval rating for President Obama, who has had soaring favorability in Massachusetts. Paleologos has the President at a 53% to 43% favorable/unfavorable, down from a high of 67% in recent Suffolk polling.

I do not have a lot of good to say about the campaign that was run by Gabriel Gomez, and that observation is not a partisan one. He ran a flat campaign, although running as a Republican in Massachusetts presents unique challenges in terms of presentation of issues, as well as being an additional vote for Mitch McConnell. Gomez is green, and without question has an attractive political resume. But he is not quite ready for prime time. Markey has done what needed to be done, and on that basis will cruise to victory. Can a Republican win a statewide seat for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts? At this point I just do not see how. Congrats to Suffolk and David Paleologos for a timely poll that likely tells us all we need to know about tomorrows election. (Today)

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Manzi in the Morning- Jim Jajuga Interview

I had former Senator Jim Jajuga on the Manzi in the Morning program on WCAP, 980 am, to talk about his candidacy for City Council, as well as casino gaming, and so much more. My thanks to Jim Jajuga for taking the time to come on the show. The Tribune story talking about the City Council candidates is here.

http://yourlisten.com/swf/Player.swf?id=16993630

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Privatization Coming to Detroit

Detroit’s long slide into the financial abyss has been a function of local government trying to paper over serious financial problems, and refusing to implement solutions that make financial and operational sense. The economic factors that created some of the problems were not the fault of local officials, but the failure to realistically deal with those issues certainly can be fairly laid at their feet. The fiscal disaster has brought Detroit an Emergency Manager who supplants local authority, and is now working to deal with the crushing debt facing the City. The new E.M. is convening labor, bondholders, and other stakeholders to talk about solutions that could help the City to avoid a Chapter 9 bankruptcy, but will require substantial sacrifice for labor, and “haircuts” for bondholders. In the interim the Emergency Manager has begun to assert operational control over City functions. One of his first orders of business? Privatizing trash collection.

The Detroit Free Press is reporting that E.M. Orr has begun conversations with national trash haulers to replace City workers with a private vendor. Reports indicate that such a move could save 30% on the $50 million that the City is currently spending. The push-back from municipal unions has already begun, with union representatives disparaging the effort, and denying that there will be cost savings.

Richard Mack, a lawyer for city unions who has helped battle previous privatization efforts, said outsourcing could end up costing the city more in the long run.

“Study after study shows privatization costs the government more,” Mack said. “When the private bids come in, they will be lower. But once the city gets rid of all of its trucks and equipment, the change orders come in, and the city can’t do anything about it. You have nothing to negotiate with, and then you’re at the mercy of contractors who’ll bleed you dry.”

I understand that Mr. Mack is doing his job, but in this case his representation does not ring true. A good contract does not allow for “change orders” in curbside pickup or tipping fees. As I looked at the story, and the back and forth on privatizing city services, I thought it might be a good time to re-visit the Stephen Lisauskas paper “A Practitioner’s Guide to Outsourcing”, done for the Pioneer Institute back in 2012. Lisauskas wrote what I consider to be an outstanding paper which looked at outsourcing, dealing with the positives as well as the negatives of the practice. As you look at the potential for savings in Detroit and why a private company could not just raise prices once they got a trash removal contract the Lisauskas paper has a sentence that is instructive.

Outsourcing often involves market competition for services. This provides public sector agencies the opportunity to access more modern, flexible approaches to providing a service than may not have evolved through internal service provision.

Private competition is fierce in trash removal, and vendors can and do change frequently in municipalities. That is the way you prevent monopoly type pricing. So what are the benefits of outsourcing?

Outsourcing allows managers to focus on measuring and managing outcomes rather than on dealing with significant input issues. These input issues are typically complicated and time consuming given the many laws, regulations,collective bargaining provisions and financial challenges under which municipalities operate.
As a result, a focus on outcomes – and the public reporting and discussion of these outcomes– is often underemphasized or absent when municipalities provide services using internal resources. Outsourcing improves the likelihood
that municipalities can focus on what truly matters to many recipients of public services – are school children being fed appropriately, is trash being removed, are schools clean and safe – rather than focusing their time and effort on planning for and managing the inputs used in service provision.

But Lisauskas also deals with the problems that could arise from outsourcing the “wrong” services.

While outsourcing has a number of potential benefits, there are also potential challenges to using this service delivery method. Outsourcing is not appropriate for every service. Services that are difficult to define and whose outcomes are difficult to quantify are generally difficult to outsource. Seeking private competition for these services could potentially be unproductive or result in higher costs if the work is not properly defined or if outcomes are improperly measured.

The key to a successful “outsourcing” project? It is all in the planning, and the ultimate work product is what is asked for in the procurement document. If it is well drafted and tightly constructed, dealing with all foreseeable contingencies, the procurement document will allow for a successful effort. A sloppily drawn procurement that does not address known industry issues, or does so in an imprecise way, can lead to disaster.

A well drafted procurement document and contract is critical to a successful outsourcing. This concentrates risk in discrete events that could be handled in error and, with multiyear contracts, could disadvantage a municipality for some time to come.

The paper talked about some of the services that might more easily lend themselves to successful outsourcing. Let us circle right back to Detroit, and the potential for saving money through trash removal outsourcing.

Services tend to be candidates for outsourcing when they can be easily defined and when performance is easily measured and quantified. This dynamic can be observed when one considers the relative ease of defining and measuring solid waste removal services – routes can be defined, tonnage measured and poor performance (that is, missed
pickups) are easily observed and remediated.

I tend to agree with Lisauskas, and also with the Emergency Manager in Detroit. That is why, in Massachusetts municipalities have largely outsourced trash collection on the curb. Outsourcing curbside collection, as well as tipping fees, will likely save that 30% (or more) talked about in Detroit. Want to gain some valuable insights on outsourcing beyond curbside trash collection? Take a look at the Lisauskas paper, which I have linked to here. Stay tuned for more on Detroit in the weeks to come.

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Manzi in the Morning- Ron Marsan Interview

Methuen East District Councilor Ron Marsan came on the Manzi in the Morning program to talk about re-election, and about some of the important issues facing Methuen. My thanks to Councilor Marsan for taking the time to come on the program.

http://yourlisten.com/swf/Player.swf?id=16991576

Posted in Manzi in the Morning, Merrimack Valley Politics, Methuen, Methuen City Council, WCAP Podcast | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Manzi in the Morning-Jamie Atkinson Interview

Methuen City Councilor Jamie Atkinson, Chair of the Finance Sub-Committee, comes on to talk budgets, Bruins, and solicitor searches. My thanks to Councilor Atkinson for taking the time to appear on the show.

http://yourlisten.com/swf/Player.swf?id=16991170

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Manzi in the Morning- Daniel Grayton Interview

First time candidate Daniel Grayton came on the Manzi in the Morning Radio program (every Wednesday on 980 WCAP from 10:00 AM TO 11:00 AM) last week to talk about his candidacy for Methuen City Council (At Large) and some of the important issues facing the City. His campaign website is www.graytonforcitycouncil.com My thanks to Daniel Grayton for taking the time to be on the show.

http://yourlisten.com/swf/Player.swf?id=16990511

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Government as a Business- Schnurer Part Two

Eric Schnurer has posted the second installment of his series on government, with a focus on governments “competing like business.” I talked about Schnurer’s first piece on this blog last week. Let us look at the new installment

Schnurer starts by making clear that he does not believe that government can “be run like a business.” He points to some of the reasons for that.

It’s pretty clear that governments do not actually operate like businesses for a vast number of reasons:

The employees, for the most part, cannot be fired, and thus have little reason to hit performance metrics, let alone respond to the views of management.

The politicians ostensibly overseeing all this are guided by a complex set of conflicting motives and incentives and have little reason to work together or move in the same direction. These managers and executives are in turn guided by the demands of shareholders, investors, and consumers who themselves have contradictory and often ill-defined expectations for the organization.

Most of this results from the fact that governments aren’t guided by the same profit motive as private-sector businesses. That isn’t necessarily bad in itself — in fact, a lot of what we expect and want governments to do is precisely those activities that are not profitable (or, at least, where profit cannot easily be captured). But the lack of a single, clear metric makes managing government, and assessing how the whole enterprise is doing, a lot more difficult.

The author is correct, in my view, when he says that government cannot be run like a business. His reasoning, outlined above, is pretty hard to refute. Maybe they are the three iron laws of government. I will get to the second point more specifically later, as it is the one that has to be the most infuriating, but maybe the one that is least subject to change. As I mentioned in the prior post the fact that government is not a business does not mean you cannot apply sound business principles to government, and that is where Eric Schnurer takes this post. He looks to get away from the idea that sound business principles might only reflect relentless cost cutting, and moves to the concept that there is some space for government to innovate, even when that innovation produces a “higher cost” product. Schnurer gives some real world examples in his post, including Delaware becoming a financial center, a business improvement district in Philadelphia, and the potential for peak hour tolling plans that may contribute to reduced road congestion.

On the issue of the type of model for government that is preferable Schnurer makes the very valid comparison between the so called “cost cutting” model, which infers lower taxes and fewer services, to innovation models that manage to find new ways to create revenues, including some that have folks that live outside the entity paying some of the freight (Delaware tolling is a good example). He lays out what he sees as the problem:

Competing on cost relies on commoditization, low investment, low democratization, highly concentrated gains, and highly externalized costs (such as labor or environmental exploitation). Third World countries and their governments will be those that, like their private-sector counterparts, continue to be resource-dependent commodity producers with low margins, producing better-than-subsistence benefit only for a few who live off the many, placing little value on innovation and ingenuity — and thus on people and their participation. The United States could (like, say, many firms in the apparel industry, or countries whose economies are based largely on resource extraction) choose that as a competitive strategy. But is that really the vision of the future we prefer?

Schnurer, of course, is decrying that “race to the bottom.” I do agree that, as laid out here, Schnurer makes a strong argument. My own experience, in local government, shows me that the distinction is not always the black and white choices laid out by Mr. Schnurer. Efficiency, and reform, does not of course mean that government is necessarily racing to the bottom, but it does lead to the inevitable political conflict. A good example of this might be in the so called “shared services” model, which indeed does cuts costs, but in the cases where it is done properly will actually produce better services for citizens. In a prior post we looked at some of those potentials laid out in a study done by the Boston Federal Reserve. Governing Magazine, in a post on “shared services“, looks at some of the drawbacks and many of the positives.

So it isn’t hard to understand why most of these jurisdiction-consolidation proposals languish on the vine of legislative consideration. Yet the potential for savings is so important that it should not be allowed to slip away. The alternative with real potential for achieving service efficiencies is no secret: inter-local agreements, purchasing pools, sharing of specialized personnel and equipment, and in some cases either multi-county special districts or state assumption of services.

I realize that maybe I am now the one rolling off the rails by moving to something that probably is not even a source of disagreement, but I feel the point is an important one. As far as that second point made by Schnurer on the “conflicting motivations” of politicians referenced above it is undeniably correct, but from my perspective it is a real problem. Why? Despite my having run for political office it is hard not to be frustrated by decisions based on knowingly false assumptions and numbers in the attempt to achieve a political goal. Even in local government (or maybe especially in local government) reform based on “sound business practices” is met, in many cases, with tremendous push-back. Now I have totally derailed. I look forward to the next installment in the fine series in “The Atlantic” by Eric Schnurer, and hope to have him on my radio show in the very near future.

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Chapter 90 Funding: New Tug of War

Yesterday I posted about the budget conference currently under way in Boston between the House and Senate, and listed some of the local aid numbers for Methuen. I mentioned that there was still some controversy over where we would end up on Chapter 90 aid, with everyone agreeing that the number should be $300 million, but not agreeing on how to fund that number, which is a $100 million increase over last year. The Governor asked the Legislature for an additional $1 billion in revenues targeted towards transportation, but will receive only about half of that amount.(Transportation Finance is also in conference) In response to that the Governor is only willing, for now, to release Chapter 90 monies of $150 million, a cut of $50 million for localities.

The Bond Authorization bill passed by the Legislature is subject to the Governor’s release of funding, and in light of the Legislative reduction in the Governor’s new revenue proposal it appears that he is going to reduce an account that is very important to legislators, and vitally important to localities. From the Massachusetts Municipal Association website:

<blockquote The administration is citing multiple transportation priorities and the unresolved issue of available revenue as the reasons for withholding $150 million in road maintenance funding from cities and towns…“The administration continues to work with the Legislature on transportation financing,” Transportation Secretary Richard Davey stated in the letter to cities and towns, “but it is clear that we will need to make hard choices about where to devote available resources.”

He said “it may be possible” to release additional Chapter 90 funding later in the fiscal year, “depending on the final disposition” of a transportation finance plan in the Legislature.

Now that is a bit of leverage being applied by the Governor to the Legislature. Don’t pass my full finance package? Then some of your priorities will go unfunded. The Mayors have taken notice:

Braintree Mayor Joseph Sullivan, president of the Massachusetts Mayors Association, told the State House News Service, “We’ve gone from what was a proposed increase of 50 percent to a 25 percent reduction. In many ways it’s not comprehensible to us.”

So the Transportation Finance package continues to create some disagreement between the Governor and the Legislature. Will the Governor veto the final package? Will he eventually release the balance of the Chapter 90 money to localities? More to come for sure. The MMA statement calling for the release of the full $300 million is here.

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Methuen Local Aid Allocations

Both the Massachusetts House and Senate have passed budgets, with the process of reconciling those documents in the hands of a conference committee. There are some slight differences in the documents, with the below listing the different allocations for local aid for Methuen in the three separate budgets. It appears as if the Governor is willing to go along with a one year increase in Chapter 90 money to $300 million, but there are still some legislative hurdles to go before any of that money is released to cities and towns. It appears as if the Legislature will send both the budget and the transportation finance bill to the Governor at the same time, which of course will put him in a difficult position if he was of a mind to veto the transportation finance package, which is still in conference. Not a lot of attention right now, but still some major decisions left to be made on the budget.

Methuen
Chapter 70 Governor 41,134,210 House 40,125,234 Senate 40,240,901

Unrestricted Local Aid Governor $4,844,608* House 4,707,570 Senate 4,598,863

* Governor number includes a new line worth $245,745 called Annual Formula Aid Calculation that both the Senate and House omitted.

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