Suffolk Poll on Governors Race

Suffolk pollster David Paleologos is roiling the political waters again, releasing a new Suffolk University poll that shows Governor Patrick leading a three man race for Governor, but with all the trends going in the wrong direction. Remarks made by Paleologos in the Herald paint a bleak picture for Governor Patrick:

“This race is really between Charlie Baker and Tim Cahill,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, which conducted the poll. “Whoever emerges between the Baker-Cahill race is likely to be the winner.”

As for Patrick, Paleologos said, “On paper, he leads.”

Wow! I have attached the Suffolk data below. From the Suffolk press release:

Patrick (33 percent) still leads the tightening field, followed by Baker (25 percent), who edges out Independent candidate and State Treasurer Tim Cahill (23 percent). Green Party candidate Jill Stein has 3 percent, while 16 percent are undecided. In a November, 2009 poll, Patrick led Cahill 36 percent to 26 percent, while Baker, the former Harvard Pilgrim chief executive, was a distant third with only 15 percent.

“Charlie Baker has nearly doubled since the Scott Brown win,” said David Paleologos, Director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. “Baker is where Brown was two weeks before the Senate election – he still trails, but he is surging and within striking distance.”

The Governor continues to show dismal job approval and favorability numbers, but has not yet relinquished the lead. Paleologos appears to expect that to happen shortly.

Read the Herald story here

Read the Suffolk Press Release here.

suffolk-marginals

suffolk-cross-tabs

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