The washington Post and Chris Cilizza have opened a new interactive map that allows us our chance to pick the presidential winner state by state, trying to see who will hit 270 in the electoral college. They have even attached a contest to this exercise. My first pass at the map is here, and I have Obama winning the electoral college with 297 votes. It really is a shaky foundation, as I mapped Obama victories in Virginia, (Bush win in 2004), Ohio (Bush win in 2004), Iowa (Bush win in 2004). Under my scenario McCain wins in Virginia and Ohio spell doom for Obama. Great exercise, and something that brings home how close this thing is likely to be. Where have I gone wrong? Have I gone wrong? Tim Kaine, Governor of Virginia, my pick in the VEEP Sweeps, is looking real good under this scenario. I will revise the map frequently, and post the new iterations as they come.
>2008 Election Contest: Pick Your President – Predict the winner of the 2008 presidential election and enter to win a $500 prize.
Bill Manzi.com 
Your Honor,
Saw the Blue results. I guess it’s over.
I declare Senator Barack Obama the next president of the United States.
Hold onto your wallets.
Your Honor, does the “Fairness Doctrine” include blogs like this?
Jules.
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Jules,
As you know from being a long time reader there is nothing fair about this blog, including its doctrine. My map does not really show a clear road to a blue victory, as I note that Ohio, Iowa and Virginia are listed by me today as blue but voted red in the Bush win of 2004. Move and counter-move will occur, including the VP choices. There is a long way to go yet my friend, and this is wide open. That is as fair as I can get.
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Your Honor,
Whew…..
have you been noticing the drift of the Polls away from OBAMA. I will be watching this site as the election cycle plays itself out.
How about you and I forming a bipartisan committee “no electioneering until 6 months before the primaries”.
Jules
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