City Council Approves Lavigne as Chief of Police

The Methuen City Council unanimously approved Katherine Lavigne as Chief of Police last night. The vote was 7-0, with Councilor John Cronin abstaining and Councilor Larry Giordano absent. Chief Lavigne has done an outstanding job for this community under some difficult circumstances, and had an opportunity to show her abilities during this interim time period. The City Council also confirmed Thomas Fram as Executive Captain, Gregory Gallant as Lieutenant, and Kenneth Leone as Sargent. Congratulations to all.

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Methuen Fireworks on for Tonight

Methuen’s rain delayed fireworks will begin tonight with Beetlejuice performing at 7:30, and the fireworks display begining at 9:30. We will be at Nicholson stadium for the festivities.

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Nadal the New King of Wimbledon

Rafael Nadal, in a truly epic Wimbledon final, dethroned Roger Federer in five sets to be the first man since Bjorn Borg to win the French and Wimbledon titles in the same year. Todays matched, twice delayed by rain, will go down as possibly the greatest Wimbledon mens final ever played. It certainly brings us back to the Borg -McEnroe wars that have been the gold standard at Wimbledon for over twenty five years. Nadal won 6-4, 6-4, 6-7(5), 6-7(8), 9-7. A great win for Nadal, and a heroic effort by Federer. As I picked Nadal to win in five sets I must take an obligatory bow here.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22425001/vp/25560637#25560637

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Breakfast at Wimbledon

Tennis on a political blog? Yes, because tommorows Wimbleldon Championship Match will be a true slugfest, with Roger Federer looking for his sixth straight Wimbledon title against the man he has beaten in the last two finals, Rafael Nadal. Nadal crushed Federer at the French Open on the red clay of Paris he is so comfortable on, but can he do it on Federer’s best surface, grass? I believe he can, as Nadal continues to excel on both surfaces. With Federer looking to best the modern record of five straight championships held by Bjorn Borg his path is blocked by the modern version of Borg, who has proven he can win on any surface, just as Borg did. It should be a classic, as was last years epic struggle. I pick Nadal in five sets! Tune in on NBC at 9 a.m.

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Obama Tacks to the Center

Yes, we are hearing those murmurs of disapproval as Senator Barack Obama begins his inexorable slide towards the center of the political spectrum as he gears up for the general election. Whatever else you may think of him Barack Obama is a Chicago politician, who likes to win. He just outmaneuvered some of the brightest political minds in the country (the Clinton machine), who tacked center before they had the prize in their hands. Now comes Barack, re-evaluating prior statements and causing some level of angst on the left. In short order he has shifted on FISA, NAFTA,public finance of presidential campaigns, a timetable for American withdrawal from Iraq, fudged on his position on the Second Amendment, and criticized the Supreme Court decision barring the death penalty for anything less than murder. He has come under some high level of criticism from the left on his FISA switch, but it truly has not been a major issue politically, drawing scant coverage outside the blogging community. The New York Times even ran a critical editorial, saying in effect that Obama needed to act less politically and more in line with his message of change. The Washington Post’s “The Fix” blog had some interesting posts on the Obama shift on FISA and immunity for the Telcoms. Read that posting here. Read the New York Times editorial here. So what do you think? Is this just more of the same, with Obama using Clintonian triangulation to buffet himself from Republican attack? Or is this good, smart, hard nosed politics that will help Barack Obama win in November and bring the change that he has advertised so boldly?

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Methuen Fireworks Rained Out

Torrential downpours have forced postponement of tonights Methuen Fireworks display. The tentative rain date is Sunday July 6.

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McCain Shakes it up

Struggling with getting out a message and trailing in the polls John McCain once again shook up his campaign, bringing in veteran political operative Steve Schmidt to take control of his operation. The move shifts responsibility away from campaign manager Rick Davis, and appears to be the end of the “decentralized campaign” which had envisioned autonomous “regional” campaign managers with broad authority over their designated regions. McCains lack of a unified
message seems to be the reason for the change, along with some operational difficulties. From the Washington Post:

“There’s not a cogent message,” one Republican strategist said yesterday, speaking on the condition of anonymity. “They’ve been attacking Obama every day, but it doesn’t tie back to an overarching theme that McCain believes in.”

The problems crystallized this week, with McCain on a three-day trip to Colombia and Mexico, where he is talking about trade and drug trafficking, an exercise even some insiders considered a waste of the candidate’s time.

“They’ve been playing this ripped-from-the-headlines game. Whatever is hot or interesting for the day is what they’ve been talking about,” said one former McCain adviser who is no longer with the campaign.

Schmidt explained his thoughts to the Post:

“There are 125 days left until the American people will decide the next president,” he said. “Senator McCain is the underdog in the race. We suspect he is behind nationally five to eight points but well within striking distance. I will help run an organization that exists for the purpose of delivering John McCain’s message to the American people.” Schmidt is also expected to abandon Davis’s plan to put roughly a dozen regional campaign managers in place around the country.

So McCain tries another political shakeup. There is plenty of time for McCain to right his ship, but I have been totally unimpressed by what up to now has been a lethargic effort, with no utilization of the McCain brand which still contains many positives. Scmidt has time, but does the candidate really want to listen to the adults in the room? Read the Post story here.

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Methuen Fireworks Tonight

Fireworks

Methuen’s annual Fourth of July celebration will be held tonight at Nicholson Stadium, with Beetle Juice and Friends performing starting at 7:30, and a spectacular fireworks show begining at 9:30. The rain date is Sunday July 6th. Hope to see you there!

Fireworks 2

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Casinos take a financial hit

The casino industry, long thought to be recession proof, is taking a big hit these days as the economic slowdown takes its toll. Even Las Vegas, the capital of casino gaming in the United States, is suffering. The casino industry, believing its own hype about being recession proof, has been on a building and buying spree that has left it heavy with debt. Those debts, in many cases, are calling into question the financial viability of some of the biggest names in casino gaming. And many ongoing gaming companies find that expansion or building plans that need additional financing are now in trouble. From the Wall Street Journal:

Several casino companies have defaulted on debt or have sought bankruptcy protection, tripped up by costly land acquisitions and ambititious new development. Kentucky based Tropicana Entertainment LLC filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in May, defaulting on $2.67 billion in bank and bond debt. Greektown Holdings LLC of Detroit and Illinois based Legends Gaming, which has casinos in Louisiana and Mississippi, have also sought bankruptcy protection.

The credit worries have driven down the value of publicly traded debt issued by casinos.

Other companies are sweating under debt agreements that require them to maintain minimum levels of cash flow, even during an economic drought. The public-debt market, spooked by four casino bankruptcies this year, reflects the concerns. Bond prices for a half-dozen casino companies, from Harrah’s to small, Las Vegas based Herbst Gaming, are trading at distressed levels, frequently below 60 cents on the dollar, on debt totalling about $5.3 billion.

And as the market turns up its collective nose at casino debt the credit rating agencies have been downgrading casinos on a large scale.

Moody’s Investor Service, which rates $79 billion in debt at casino companies, has downgraded 17 casino companies this year. Eleven more are on review for possible downgrade, from small but storied Vegas names such as Golden Nugget to regional players like Penn National Gaming, which has 19 casinos, racetracks and riverboats across the Midwest and South.

And the publicly traded shares of some of the major casino players have taken a huge hit.

Las Vegas based Boyd Gaming Corp. has fallen to about $12 a share, a five year low, from a high of $54 last summer. After topping $98 last fall, shares of casino giant MGM Mirage now trade below $35.

The Journal story actually raised the spectre of a default by industry giant Harrah’s, currently holding about $17 billion in debt. Harrah’s took pains to deny that potential, and cited ongoing improvements and programs to fly loyal customers in on their own jets. And a key portion of the story pointed to the fact that many casinos have come to rely heavily on non-gaming revenue, including pricey restaurants and expensive amenities. These revenues are falling fast in this economic climate, further burdening the industry. It was an interesting read in the Journal, and certainly will cast some doubt on the concept of “destination casinos” here in Massachusetts. And with many of the major players heavily debt burdened robust expansion plans may be put on hold. The Journal does not have a free web site, so I cannot link to the article, printed yesterday.

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Energy and Ethanol

One of the major issues confronting the candidates in this Presidential election cycle is energy, and its huge effect on our lives and our economy. There are many policy disputes between candidates and the parties themselves across a wide spectrum of energy related issues. Today lets look at ethanol. The New York Times recently ran a story on the Obama connection to the ethanol industry, and some of the policy differences between the candidates on this issue. Obama is quoted at an ethanol processing plant opening in Iowa as saying:

In the heart of the Corn Belt that August day, Mr. Obama argued that embracing ethanol “ultimately helps our national security, because right now we’re sending billions of dollars to some of the most hostile nations on earth.” America’s oil dependence, he added, “makes it more difficult for us to shape a foreign policy that is intelligent and is creating security for the long term.”

Obama strongly supports the massive subsidy offered to domestic corn ethanol, and has been supportive of the tariff imposed on Brazilian sugar ethanol that serves as outright protection for the domestic ethanol industry. This offers a sharp contrast with McCain, who opposes the domestic government subsidy and opposes the tariff imposed on Brazilian ethanol.

Mr. McCain advocates eliminating the multibillion-dollar annual government subsidies that domestic ethanol has long enjoyed. As a free trade advocate, he also opposes the 54-cent-a-gallon tariff that the United States slaps on imports of ethanol made from sugar cane, which packs more of an energy punch than corn-based ethanol and is cheaper to produce.

“We made a series of mistakes by not adopting a sustainable energy policy, one of which is the subsidies for corn ethanol, which I warned in Iowa were going to destroy the market” and contribute to inflation, Mr. McCain said this month in an interview with a Brazilian newspaper, O Estado de São Paulo. “Besides, it is wrong,” he added, to tax Brazilian-made sugar cane ethanol, “which is much more efficient than corn ethanol.”

The corn ethanol subsidy has been criticized for a number of reasons, including the huge spike in food commodity prices, which is leading to food shortages and hunger in many parts of the world.

Many economists, consumer advocates, environmental experts and tax groups have been critical of corn ethanol programs as a boondoggle that benefits agribusiness conglomerates more than small farmers. Those complaints have intensified recently as corn prices have risen sharply in tandem with oil prices and corn normally used for food stock has been diverted to ethanol production. “If you want to take some of the pressure off this market, the obvious thing to do is lower that tariff and let some Brazilian ethanol come in,” said C. Ford Runge, an economist specializing in commodities and trade policy at the Center for International Food and Agricultural Policy at the University of Minnesota. “But one of the fundamental reasons biofuels policy is so out of whack with markets and reality is that interest group politics have been so dominant in the construction of the subsidies that support it.”

And what of energy efficiency. Brazilian sugar ethanol is far more efficient, which is not in dispute.

Corn ethanol generates less than two units of energy for every unit of energy used to produce it, while the energy ratio for sugar cane is more than 8 to 1. With lower production costs and cheaper land prices in the tropical countries where it is grown, sugar cane is a more efficient source.

Obama has made the tariff on Brazilian ethanol a national security issue, but is it really?

On the campaign trail, Mr. Obama has not explained his opposition to imported sugar cane ethanol. But in remarks last year, made as President Bush was about to sign an ethanol cooperation agreement with his Brazilian counterpart, Mr. Obama argued that “our country’s drive toward energy independence” could suffer if Mr. Bush relaxed restrictions, as Mr. McCain now proposes.

An outgrowth of this debate has been the candidates positions on the recent farm bill passed by Congress. Obama and McCain both missed the vote on that bill, but Obama has been supportive, while McCain has said he would have vetoed the bill. As a Senator from the second largest corn producing state in the Union I understand Obama’s position as a Senator. I am not sure I get his position now. On ethanol and on the willingness to buck the ethanol industry monster that has been created the nod from this dem goes to McCain. Read the New York Times story here.

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