The State of the Union

President Obama delivered the State of the Union last night, and he moved the agenda to job creation and the economy, removing his focus on health care reform. He also candidly acknowledged error, but challenged both parties to focus on governing, and to stop trying to score short term political gain. He announced an executive order creating a biparisan deficit commission, and although health care was not front and center the President made it clear that he still favored reform, and covering the uninsured. He challenged Republican and Democrat alike to come up with something better if they disagreed with him, but not to leave health care in its current state.

A good speech, in my view, but one that needs the necessary follow through. Fair or not the American public is looking for results. If he can deliver on jobs and the economy he will solve a big chunk of his political problem. If not he and the Democratic Party will be in for some tough times. The Republican response, from Virginia Governor Robert McDonnell, is posted as well.

An interesting side note came with the apparent head nod of disagreement given by Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito to the President’s criticism of their recent corporate free speech decision. Alito appears to be saying “not true” as the President issued his criticism. I had speculated at the Tribune live chat on what the response might be by the Supremes to the coming criticism, and it appears that that Alito may have broken with tradition by his mannerisms.

So what about it? Did the President manage to help himself with this speech?

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Governor Patrick Files FY 2011 Budget

Governor Deval Patrick has filed the FY 2011 budget. His full budget message is below.

To the People of Massachusetts:

Lieutenant Governor Murray and I are proud to file our budget recommendations for fiscal year 2011. This budget reflects our collective values and makes investments in critical areas that will help us strengthen our economy in the near-term and position us for growth and prosperity over the long-term.

As with each budget we have submitted – and those we have revised amidst unprecedented global economic challenges – our fiscal year 2011 budget is guided by an important set of principles.

First, we are investing in our economy and our people: The economic downturn has undeniably strained the state budget, as it has likewise strained the finances of individuals, families and businesses across Massachusetts. But whatever the fiscal challenges we face today, we remain committed to investing in the Commonwealth’s economy and our people.

Thus, we have consistently protected Chapter 70 education aid from budget cuts because I believe education is the single most important investment we can make in our future. Earlier this month, I signed into law a sweeping overhaul of our K-12 education system, aimed at turning around underperforming schools, closing the achievement gap and fostering innovation in education. This budget builds on our commitment to education. It funds Chapter 70 at more than $4.04 billion – the highest levels in history, with all school districts funded at foundation levels and no operating districts experiencing a cut. Together, these steps will help our education system prepare our students for a successful future in a global economy.

On top of protecting Chapter 70 funding, we are preserving current funding for unrestricted general government aid for cities and towns – a major short- and long-term economic investment in its own right and a lever to help reduce pressure on property taxes. This funding is in addition to the numerous tools we have worked to give cities and towns to help balance their budgets and protect police, fire and other essential community services. We are also submitting, in conjunction with this budget, a new set of proposals that will further assist local government in meeting the needs of those it serves.

And we are maintaining our commitment to health care reform, an initiative that sets Massachusetts apart as a leader in health care with the highest levels of health insurance coverage in the nation. Today, thanks to continued investment in this groundbreaking program, more than 97 percent of our population has health insurance. Investments in health care strengthen our economy by improving the health and productivity of our workforce and bolstering our world-renowned medical sector.

These investments are part of our comprehensive strategy to create jobs, speed economic recovery and promote long-term prosperity for the Commonwealth – along with investments in infrastructure through our capital plan, our cutting-edge life sciences and clean energy initiatives and our other efforts to preserve a strong safety net for those in need. This strategy is positioning Massachusetts to recover faster and stronger than the rest of the nation and achieve its full potential as a leader in the global economy.

Second, we are changing the culture on Beacon Hill: Delivering on changes that had been talked about for decades has been a cornerstone of our fiscal and larger policy agenda, reflecting our commitment to making state government more efficient and responsive to our residents and to restoring integrity to public service. Working with the Legislature, we implemented groundbreaking improvements to our transportation system and the first phase of pension reform, tightened ethics rules, introduced competition into the auto insurance market, increased use of civilian flaggers and implemented a host of structural reforms that are changing the face of state government for the better.

Our fiscal year 2011 budget and accompanying proposals build on this strong record of improvements, including the next phase of pension reform, a reorganization of our parole and probation departments to help make our communities safer, a more coordinated approach to purchasing energy for state government and additional budget reforms to promote sound fiscal practices and transparency.

Third, we are committed to fiscal responsibility: The investments that we have made in the people and in the future of the Commonwealth have been part of balanced, fiscally responsible budget blueprints. Bond rating agencies have praised our record of prudent fiscal management – including our prompt and thoughtful steps to close unforeseeable budget gaps driven by a deep and unprecedented global economic recession. That commitment to fiscal responsibility endures in our fiscal year 2011 budget. Total spending grows at a rate slower than expected growth in tax revenues, as we make major strides towards structural balance even in a still-difficult fiscal environment.

Yet fiscal responsibility is not simply about aggregate budget numbers but also the values embedded in our budgets. We have insisted that the sacrifice required by our current economic and fiscal climate be shared, to build confidence that our budgets are fair and avoid disproportionate harmful impacts. In this budget, we continue to deliver major support for the state budget from independent authorities – with a total of $30 million in contributions helping to fund college scholarships, Soft Second mortgages, health care outreach and enrollment grants, assistance for small businesses and other important state initiatives.

Fourth, we are working with our federal partners: We have worked closely with President Obama and our congressional delegation to support our economic agenda to create jobs, speed recovery, promote long-time prosperity and mitigate the immediate harmful impacts of the economic downturn. Thanks to that partnership, Massachusetts maintains a competitive advantage in securing the funding necessary to move forward on many important initiatives.

The Commonwealth is expected to receive approximately $14 billion through the federal American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, including funding for education, life sciences, transportation, clean energy and health care that builds on our own initiatives and provides direct relief to our state’s residents. Our fiscal year 2011 budget likewise benefits from “use or lose” federal funds that have already been secured through our efforts and anticipates further federal support in the coming fiscal year.

We are very proud of our record of accomplishment over the past three years, achieved in partnership with the people of Massachusetts and the Legislature. Our fiscal year 2011 budget blueprint reflects the simple notion that we must continue moving forward. No matter how challenging the economic climate, we cannot afford to retreat from the important progress we have made over the last several years.

With our investments in our speeding economic recovery and laying the foundations for long-term prosperity, and our enduring commitment to fiscal responsibility and reform, we move forward to a bright future for the Commonwealth and its residents.

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Live Chat the Presidents State of the Union

I will be a panelist tonight as the Eagle Tribune hosts an online chat during President Obama’s State of the Union speech. Join us at the Eagle Tribune website. We are scheduled to begin at 8:45 p.m.

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Deficit Commission Rejected

The U.S. Senate yesterday rejected a proposal that would have created a bi-partisan “Deficit Commission”, which would have had the authority to make recommendations that Congress would have been forced to vote up or down, with no amendments. The proposal, sponsored by Republican Judd Gregg and Democrat Kent Conrad, gathered 53 votes in the Senate, but failed to reach the necessary 60. Opposition to the proposal came from both left and right, with Democrats decrying the potential for spending cuts, and Republicans firmly opposed to any proposal that could bring tax increases. The Democratic left and the Republican right are both wrong on this. I understand the need to deficit spend to help us out of this recession, but the structural problems need to be addressed now. One interesting note. Interest payments are scheduled to rise to over $700 billion annually by 2020. That is money that can’t be spent on social programs, and will have to be taxed for. The fiscal madness will move forward, and will do so on a bipartisan basis. Read a New York Times story on the bill’s defeat here.

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President Obama and the Left

With the potential collapse of health care reform President Obama has begun to take some withering fire from the left wing base of the Democratic Party. The complaints are multifold but boil down to the President paying too little heed to the left on policy, and being too willing to compromise to achieve legislative success. Rahm Emmanuel has come in for some heavy criticism, being accused of steering the Administration to the center and being too willing to make legislative deals. The President himself seems torn, giving mixed signals on where he really is on several issues of substance.

The President and Rahm have a real understanding of the legislative process, and if there is to be criticism then I believe it should be centered on being too deferential to Congress is developing key legislation. I do believe that the President could exercise firmer leadership on setting policy goals involved in major legislation, although I am sure the President feels he has done that. The legislative process however cannot be blamed on the President. The left does not like the sausage making, and I agree that it can be and is ugly. But the President did not elect Joe Lieberman, or Ben Nelson, or Kent Conrad. The realities on the ground are not changeable by Presidential fiat. To get to sixty votes on health care in the Senate was exceedingly difficult, and I do not believe the President could have shifted votes (on the public option for example) by any means. Is he perfect? No. Would running attack ads against moderate Democrats have produced a different result? Not a chance. Some interesting articles on the revolt of the left over at the Wall Street Journal. An Ed Schultz exchange with White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs is here, as well as the President’s comments to Diane Sawyer on how he will proceed from here. Another interesting read from the Wall Street Journal entitled “The Revenge of Bill Clinton” gives the WSJ take on the politics involved in the center vs. left issue.

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What Ails Democrats?

With the Coakley loss there will be plenty of post election analysis done on why she lost, and whether that loss should lead to a re-evaluation of Democratic Party strategies and policy goals. Two interesting columns, one by Senator Steve Baddour in the Eagle Tribune, and a blog posting over at the AFL blog by Jeff Crosby, take somewhat differing views on the election and the best way forward for Democrats.

Baddour calls for a return to values, and somewhat directly criticizes the conduct of some on Beacon Hill. He generically criticizes Democratic tax policies, saying that those policies are not “working” for Massachusetts families struggling through this recession. There are no policy prescriptions in Baddour’s piece, but rather a criticism of the notion of business as usual.

Some of our leaders have lost the confidence of the people they were sworn to serve. Criminal behavior, back-room deals, and lack of true accountability have disenfranchised the voters and left them with a destructive and cynical view toward government. Well-funded special interest groups have taken over the agenda, serving only themselves, not the greater good. We must set a standard that restores faith in the political process and shines the light on the way business is now conducted on Beacon Hill and Capitol Hill.

Crosby focuses on the lack of rank and file labor support for Coakley, and hones in on President Obama’s support for the Senate “cadillac tax” on health care, which alienated large swarths of union voters. Crosby’s blog posting indicates that Coakley lost union households in Massachusetts by three points, and posits that Brown essentially got the McCain Massachusetts vote, while Coakley failed to bring out her base, drawing substantially less than President Obama’s raw vote totals. The posting also contained some very interesting poll numbers done for the AFL by Hart. I have attached those at the bottom of this posting. How the Democrats move forward from here depends on what lessons we take from this election. That debate starts now. Here is a snippet from the Crosby post:

Coakley spent time raising money from insurance lobbyists in Washington instead of campaigning in Mattapan because that’s the way the system works. Obama listened to an MIT economist instead of us—about our own benefit plans—because that’s often the way the Democratic Party works. Neo-liberalism reigns, money flows from and to those with power, and extremist free market ideas have permeated every corner of public life. Many national Democrats will conclude this election was lost because Democrats were—you guessed it—“too left.” The AFL-CIO election night polling shows they are wrong.

Would an aggressive labor-populist campaign have won this election? I think so. Of course, it’s hard to say. One thing is certain—you don’t build the kind of country we want by putting lipstick on a pig or by reconciling the irreconcilable. Whether the road ahead is hard or easy, we need to be blunt about the circumstances we face here in these United States, and let the chips fall where they may.

Read the Jeff Crosby blog posting here.

Read the Baddour column here.

mass_elections

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The President on SCOTUS Corporate Free Speech

The President this week talked about the Supreme Court decision that opened the floodgates for special interest money to flood the political system. The Court broadened the concept of First Amendment rights for corporations, enabling corporate and other special interest money broad new access to the system. The link above contains all of the opinions written by the Justices, not just the majority opinion by Justice Kennedy. And the exchange between Chief Justice Roberts and lead dissenter Justice Stevens is highlighted in the “Supreme Court Memo” column over at the New York Times. A legislative remedy to the Court decision? Lots of talk about it, but I don’t hold out much hope for change.

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Governor Patrick at the MMA

Governor Patrick at the MMA yesterday giving the keynote speech and giving an advance peek at his budget, and how it pertains to local aid. His remarks were welcomed by local officials, who had anticipated large cuts in general local aid and school aid. Mayor Tom Menino spoke before the Governor, and he repeated our call for the State to give “plan design” authority to local officials outside of the collective bargaining process.

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David Paleologos on Senate Race

David Paleologos of Suffolk University was the pollster who first saw Scott Brown take the lead in the Senate race. He and his team at Suffolk did a terrific job of tracking the movement in the race. His bellwether polls confirmed that the race had indeed slipped away from Martha Coakley. A nice job by David, who made an appearance on Hardball with Chris Matthews to discuss the election this week. This video has David talking about the race. Good stuff.

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Health Care Conundrum

The victory of Scott Brown has thrown Democratic plans for health care expansion into chaos, with both Senate and House leadership seemingly unable to come up with a cogent strategy to bring a bill forward. The most obvious way forward would have been for the House to adopt the Senate version intact, and then send that bill to the President for signature. Corrective legislation could have followed. The House yesterday rejected that possibility, with Speaker Pelosi admitting that the votes were not there to adopt the Senate version.

The health care reform bills adopted by both branches appear dead. The President himself appeared to call for a scaled back version in an interview on ABC, but the White House later “clarified” his remarks to say that he still favored a broader approach. There will be no approach, either narrow or broad, without Republican votes in the Senate. That is the only way forward on health care today. The bill making process has been utilized by Republicans politically in a very effective manner, and that process has soured independent voters on the whole bill. And truly the process has rightly been subject to criticism. The carve outs are outrageous, and the states (besides Nebraska), have a real concern about any bill that passes costs on to them. We at the local level have concerns about additional burdens to the states as well. It is back to the drawing board, but health care reform is on advanced life support.

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