More Senate Polling and Handicapping

The folks over at Public Policy Polling have released their last Massachusetts Senate survey, and it shows Republican Scott Brown with a five point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley. I have attached the press release and the poll results from Public Policy, and some of the trends we have seen in other polls come through again here. In particular this poll shows an “enthusiasm” gap between Brown voters and Coakley voters, and also continues to show the massive deficit Coakley has with unenrolled voters. The Democrats will need a top notch field and GOTV operation to pull this out. And the survey appears to show Democratic voters begining to get energized as they realize that the race may be slipping away.

Chris Cillizza had mentioned the Cook Political Report leaning towards a Brown victory. He now reports that Stuart Rothenberg is leaning towards a Brown victory as well. From Rothenberg:

Brown is running extremely well with Independents in the Bay State, and unless Democratic turnout exceeds everyone’s expectations, Brown is headed for a comfortable win. Move from Toss-Up to Lean Takeover

There will be some rather harsh recriminations within the Democratic Party if Rothenberg is right. But that is a story for another day.

And the latest Coakley ad featuring the President.

ppp_release_ma_117468963846

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5 Responses to More Senate Polling and Handicapping

  1. Jules Gordon says:

    Your Honor,

    The ONE was in for Martha, made attack ad, ridiculed his truck. How come no bounce.

    See you this afternoon. Warning I will jump with glee if Brown wins.

    Ah, if only more of my friends…..

    Jules

    Like

  2. Patrizia says:

    Jules,
    Don’t forget to vote! GO SCOTT BROWN!!!!!

    Like

  3. Jules Gordon says:

    Your Honor,

    It is 10:30 PM and I want to alert you that my ‘friend’ Brown won the senate seat. I do this just in case you missed the news.

    Jules.

    Like

  4. Gerard Donahue says:

    Jules & Mayor Manzi:

    I also wanted to add my congrats on the crushing win Scott Brown had over Martha Coakley. So I guess Senator Baddour will not go for Mass AG now Right?

    Like

  5. Ben Nevis says:

    You could be right about that Mr. Donahue, however “Marsha” may be so shellhocked that she may pass up the AG race. Sen. Baddour has a sizable “war chest” and is primed and ready for a run for AG. What say you Mr. Mayor?

    Like

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