The two candidates who have bucked their party establishment and have come to represent the concept of change were victorius last night in the Iowa caucuses. While we do have a long way to go it appears to me that some serious concerns should be voiced in the camps of John Edwards and Mitt Romney, who staked so much on the Iowa results. Hillary is poised to continue but took a hard body blow, with New Hampshire being a very important election for her right now. New Hampshire should further shake this race out. I was struck by the Obama victory speech, and although I realized he was a truly inspiring orator I thought he gave a magnificient speech. On the Republican side I thought that Mike Huckabee also gave a good speech, and managed to channel (at least in Iowa) anti-Washington, anti establishment support. I have attached the Washington Post video of the Candidates election night remarks.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/mmedia/player/wpniplayer_viral.swf?vid=010308-16v_title
Bill Manzi.com 
Here are my NH primary predictions:
Obama — 36%
Clinton — 28%
Edwards — 25%
Richardson — 8%
Kucinich — 2%
Gravel — 1%
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I think that Richardson and Gravel will both drop out tonight on the D side. All of the GOP candidates will likely continue.
The GOP race is becoming more interesting every week. Huckabee won Iowa, McCain will likely win NH, Romney is poised to carry Michigan, Huckabee will likely beat Thompson in South Carolina, and Giuliani is set to take Florida. I have a feeling that Obama is now in steamroll mode, just like Kerry in 2004. This means that the Democrats will have a nominee by Super Tuesday, while the GOP drags the race on to the August convention.
What do you think?
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